TML
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,484
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« on: November 25, 2022, 01:58:53 PM » |
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As mentioned elsewhere on this forum, the main geographic reason for NC’s R lean is its so-called “Countrypolitan” counties - i.e. counties on the outskirts of major metropolitan areas. These counties are mostly whiter and less educated than the state at-large, and have thus provided Republicans with greater margins compared to rural counties (in 2020, Trump won these “Countrypolitan” counties by 407K votes, while he only won the rural/small-town counties by 352K votes). Democrats don’t have to flip these counties outright; they just have to reduce their losing margins there. One way to do so is to increase turnout in the urban core areas in these counties (e.g. Gastonia in Gaston County, Monroe in Union County, Reidsville in Rockingham County, etc.).
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