2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

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Any recent polling on SC-01?

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Well, Haley losing by 10% would make my night!

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Breaking News, guys:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QH6_xx_w8sk&feature=player_embedded

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I voted for Scott and Haley today. I have a good feeling that at least one will win.

Ya think?

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What a snoozer tonight is. Hopefully Utah will be interesting (but it probably won't be).

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Yeah I assumed Halter was going to pull off the win before the returns really started hitting...

Dorchester is now 1/6th in and Scott is winning it 75-25. He's really beating the pants off Thurmond.

Impressive, no?

Who would have, a year ago, thought that the son of Strom could EVER be soundly beaten by a black guy in a GOP primary SC-01, especially in a case like this where all of Scott's white opponents endorsed whats-his-face-son-of-the-racist?  If post-racial politics can profoundly show up in low-turnout GOP primaries in South Carolina, our country has a promising future indeed!

Remember, Scott only got like 31% in the first round -- not really that convincing of a showing.

I wonder how long this sentiment lasts? Especially when the GOP starts hyping Scott as their Obama. Its like their fifth or sixth now I beleive.

If anyone is the GOP's "next Obama" it's Marco Rubio until if/when Scott primaries Graham.

J.C. Watts didn't really help the GOP address their disconnect with black voters, as far as I know.  

BUT it's a very promising sign that the three of the GOP's current minority rising stars are taking place in places that were once possibly the center for racist politics (SC & LA).

I guess that the epicenter for racial voting among whites may have shifted northwards towards places like West Virginia, PA-12, and Arkansas, which perhaps should be taken into account for any meta-analysis?  PA-12 was the only Kerry-McCain district...

What do you guys think?  

I think Appalachia has always been and continues to be horrible. And the same goes for Ar-kan-sas.

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What's Deal's deal? (Haha, get it!) I've only really paid attention to Handel and Oxendine.

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The Ox is down to fourth place. Ouch.

It turns out he really wasn't much of an Ox at all.

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It looks like a lot of these are going to be very interesting, surprisingly enough. I wish I didn't have to work 6-11 tomorrow.

I guess I'll just pour through the thread when I get home.

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think Malloy has the CT party establishment & the momentum.

Didn't Lieberman have that too though (the latter part towards the very end)....

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Who are people on here rooting for between Bennet and Romanoff?

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Next question: Lamont or Malloy, Atlas Forum?

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Gotta stick with Lamont out of residual loyalty.

Yeah, same here. I think CT is probably a D pickup in the general election no matter what... even if the other dude would be slightly better candidate.

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Some very quick and not especially informed guesstimates:

GA Runoff

Deal: 52%
Handel: 48%

CT Governor & Senate

Foley: 41%
Fedele: 34%
Griebel: 25%

Lamont: 52%
Malloy: 48%  (ZOMG: The same result as Lamont/Lieberman!)

McMahon: 50%
Simmons: 33%
Schiff: 17%

MN Governor (Democrats)

Dayton: 42%
Kelliher: 33%
Entenza: 22%
Idusogie: 3%

CO Governor & Senate

Maes: 54%
McInnis: 46%

Bennet: 51%
Romanoff: 49%

Buck: 51%
Norton: 49%

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I got back from work and just read through the thread.

Bummer about Lamont. That should be the end of his (non) career in politics. Malloy is fine though and he'll be the next Governor of Connecticut.

I'm kind of pleased with the Bennet victory. MSM will probably take it as a slap in the face of Bill Clinton, which while it probably isn't, it's still amusing on some level.

As for GA, well, the bigger of the two dirtbags has won...

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Funny that the Colorado races won't fit into the media's narrative. On one hand you have the establishment Bennet winning, but anti-establishment Buck winning.

MSM memes = epic fail.

This shouldn't be much of a surprise though... and even I actually called the correct winners in those two races!

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Washington briefly had separate party primaries (including the 2004 primaries) but 1998 had an open primary.

Amusingly enough, it resembles this one somewhat...

1998:
46% Murray (D)
32% Smith (R)
15% Bayley (R)

2010:
46% Murray (D)
34% Rossi (R)
12% Didier (R)

Murray isn't getting 58% again. Smith was too extreme to be elected statewide. Rossi is far more electable

So why does he keep epic failing then?

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I think Greene is probably done. That'll complicate things for Crist greatly, I suspect.

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I think Greene is probably done. That'll complicate things for Crist greatly, I suspect.

Not really, Meek only polls 1 point higher than Greene.

And Crist doesn't want Greene in saturate the market with anti-Crist ads. Greene can afford those, Meek can't. Meek is going to be short of money now thanks to the primary, and he only averages $1 mil per quarter, so...

Crist is still in decent shape.

This has nothing to do with the current polling. If Greene is nominated, the entire Democratic establishment will abandon him almost instantly and Crist will become the de facto nominee. Also, if Greene is nominated, Crist gets the blacks in the general.

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It seems like the polling has been all over the place in GOP gubernatorial race for a while now but I really haven't paid that much attention to it, so what do I know...

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Yeah, so basically nobody really knows what the hell is going in McCollum-Scott...

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Yeah, so basically nobody really knows what the hell is going in McCollum-Scott...

I only know that 1 of them will have a 20-point lead over Sink in the next Rasmussen poll ...

What a rebound! The Republicans are united! The Republicans are united!

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I'm watching Vermont the closest tomorrow.

Care to share any of your thoughts on the Democratic gubernatorial contest? I was reading about it earlier today but I'm still pretty clueless as to what the differences are between the candidates (if there are any) and as to who is in lead (if anyone is).

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Who are you backing in the NY AG race?

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Who are you backing in the NY AG race?

Dinallo

http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/2010/08/22/2010-08-22_go_with_dinallo.html

I've met Eric and he's a fantastic person, hyper smart, but with enough eccentric quirks that he's a human being (he's a big comic book nerd).

Comic book nerd?!? That might secure my vote right there.