Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Forget my signature, this man is America's new Sweetheart.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If this turns out to be a UK '17 situation, with pollsters fatally underestimating youth turnout, I'll do an actual f**king dance.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

It's all over

https://twitter.com/MillieBonham/status/940688177446182912





(lol)

Almost had a heart attack there for a minute.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

CNN is reporting that the Moore campaign is seeing high turnout from "white, rural" voters....

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

CNN is reporting that the Moore campaign is seeing high turnout from "white, rural" voters....

Doubt it

I'm not trolling, although it's important to note that of course his campaign would say that.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

CNN is reporting that the Moore campaign is seeing high turnout from "white, rural" voters....

The moore campaign has said a lot of things today.....

Yeah, I'm not at all saying that's true, as LimoLiberal pointed out, Gillespie's campaign was saying the exact same thing at this point last month.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

CNN: 55% unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore

I can't imagine many people with a favorable opinion of Moore voting against him (I could imagine the reverse), so I think that says that Moore will get at least 45% of the vote.

Well obviously. Jones winning by 10%+ was never possible.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

So if Jones wins is this the end of Bannon?

God, I hope so.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

It's true that these exits do look awesome for Jones, but I'm still not getting my hopes up. let's wait and see what happens.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

CNN Exit poll says that the electorate is 65% White, 30% Black.

That's huge for Jones. if this holds, he likely wins.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Just in- 82% of Evangelicals believe accusations against Moore are false.

MSNBC says 72%.

How many DNK OR BELIEVE

... What?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

51-43 want GOP to control Senate

We know, this was posted when the exit polls first started trickling out.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

"It's Massachusetts" Martha Coakley said before losing to a Republican in 2010

"It's Alabama" Roy Moore said.....

Get your own Gillibrand sig!

Hey I got this pic first

Okay, we'll split it down the middle and toy can each have half.

Came to join the thread as we get towards the end of the day, but I'm totally clueless about Alabama. When do the polls close?

They close at 8PM EST.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

((prays that Jones doesn't get Ossoff'd))

GRANTED, Jones is much more authentic, likable, and competent compared to smug Jon.

Jones is legitimately one of my favorite politicians in the country right now.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Nina Turner just called Roy Moore "batshit crazy" on CNN.

Well, she's not wrong.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

30 minutes to go...

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

538's live blog is up: http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/alabama-senate-election-results/

JFC who thought it'd be a good idea to add a live FB feed to that blog?!

My favorite comment from that feed:
"The pornography industry regularly depicts females as teenagers and the most sought after criteria in a porn search is "16 year old girls" (source: A Billion Wicked Thoughts). Internet porn is the most lucrative industry on earth, supported by millions of men in America and beyond. So let's not act like Moore and Alabama are such outliers, please. He's the symptom, not the disease. Patriarchs have been claiming the rights to girls' bodies since Biblical times. There is not a big difference at all between adult men searching "16 year old girls" on porn sites (my actual argument) and adult men "dating" 16 year old girls."

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Final, final prediction: Jones +2

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Final call: Jones wins by under 100 votes in a hotly contested recount that causes Trump to have a massive meltdown on twitter.

That would be beautiful to see, but if it's that close it'd be easy for the Alabama GOP to steal the election, so...

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

ONE MINUTE!

IT'S TIME

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Final prediction: Moore 57 Jones 36

Final Prediction: Jeb! wins with 99% of the vote

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Who are the 2% of Democrats that voted for Moore?

30% AA turnout!

Is that high or low? It seems low.

High, if the overall turnout is 25%.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

I might be wrong, but I'm not feeling so great about Jones's chances right now.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Uh are those Etowah county numbers real??

He could win it just because it's Moore's home county and the people there know how awful he is.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

DDHQ guy:

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Oh well. At least Jones ran an honorable campaign