Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[Dr. Arch]

North Carolina: High Point University, Sep 28-Oct 6, 404 adults (346 RV)

Trump approval is 35/51 among adults, 38/51 among RV.

Right track/wrong direction is 18/70 and 19/68.

Gov. Cooper approval is 44/30 and 47/31.

Sen. Burr: 29/34 and 32/35.

Sen. Tillis: 33/35 and 35/36.

Wow, that's really ugly for Trump considering it's NC. Cooper is doing great.

[Dr. Arch]

Washington Post/ University of Maryland (National Poll)

Approve: 37
Disapprove: 63

https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/28/National-Politics/Polling/release_497.xml?tid=a_inl

The big 60+ is here!

[Dr. Arch]

Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College Poll - Arkansas

47.5%  Approve
45.5%  Disapprove

Source

hah, almost underwater in Arkansas of all places.

[Dr. Arch]

Looks like the 60s are here now, way ahead of schedule, mind you.

[Dr. Arch]

Well he's still at 56% at RCP average. But if Russiagate continues to be in the headlines and Tax Reform fails to pass, he'll hit the 60% in RCP as well. I hope his approval goes into the 20s by the 2018 midterms.

They haven't added the latest polls yet, other than Gallup. We'll see what happens with the average in a few.

[Dr. Arch]

33/62!

lmao!

This is the point of no return...

Just to emphasize, there are 3 recent polls showing his disapproval at >60%.

[Dr. Arch]

Think today's news will send us below freezing this week?

He's already almost there, and the first indictments just came out this morning.

[Dr. Arch]

Rasmussen 02-Nov-17

Approve: 43 (-1 from last week) (Strongly 29 [+1])
Disapprove: 56 (+1 from last week) (Strongly 48 [+2])

[Dr. Arch]

I also suspect that the monstrous results for Democrats yesterday will make the electorate less confident about Trump and his politics, which may catalyze a larger drop in approvals in the coming weeks.

[Dr. Arch]

Colorado

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/coloradans-increasingly-displeased-with-president-trump-poll-finds

https://mediaassets.thedenverchannel.com/document/2017/11/29/Keating%20Colorado%20Poll%20November%202017%20XTABS%20Part%20One%20-%20For%20Release_72983933_ver1.0.pdf?_ga=2.251906825.1467516554.1512000768-1705114113.1512000768

Holy mother of bloodbath, 66%!

[Dr. Arch]

Among Millennials

Approve: 19%
Disapprove: 74%
DK/NA: 7%

The GOP is finished

Keep pissing us off Republicans. We'll pay it back in dividends and with interest.

[Dr. Arch]

jeez, take a chill pill people lol. It was clearly a jab, but no one here likes jokes.

We are on edge about just how badly this country's moral compass has fallen, lol.

[Dr. Arch]

CBS News [12/7/2017]

Approve: 36% (-3)
Disapprove: 57% (+2)

Net: -21%

Link: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/CBS_News_Dec_7th_2017.pdf

[Dr. Arch]

CBS News [12/7/2017]

Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 57%

Net: -21%

Link: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/CBS_News_Dec_7th_2017.pdf

The previous CBS news poll (according to the 538 database) was Oct 27-30, with results of 39/55 (-16).

Added

[Dr. Arch]

PPP poll of 25 R-held swing districts for MoveOn, Dec 5-6, 3068 RV

Approve: 41
Disapprove: 56

Generic Congressional ballot: D 50, R 41

The 25 districts are AZ-2, CA-10, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49, CO-6, FL-26, FL-27, IA-1, IL-6, MI-11, NJ-2, NJ-11, NY-19, NY-22, PA-6, PA-7, PA-8, PA-15, TX-7, TX-23, VA-10, WA-8.

Danger Danger

[Dr. Arch]

Monmouth, Dec 10-12, 806 adults (change from Sept)

Approve 32 (-8)
Disapprove 56 (+7)

Record (by far) low approval and high disapproval for this poll.

Generic Congressional ballot: 51 D, 36 R

Brrrr

[Dr. Arch]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2017/12/14/iowa-poll-60-percent-iowans-disapprove-donald-trumps-job-performance/945229001/

Iowa

Approval: 35
Disapproval: 60

Wowwwww

[Dr. Arch]

Iowa

Approval: 35
Disapproval: 60

I'm glad folks in Iowa are coming to their senses, but honestly, what made Iowans into Trump supporters to begin with? It's strange that the state that launched Obama's political career went for the birther candidate eight years later. And what exactly do they not like about the Trump presidency? He's governing exactly as he campaigned..

I think they were more Anti-Hillary than anything, and I can see why. She did little to appeal to them directly.

[Dr. Arch]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Ohhh... it's starting to get really ugly now.

[Dr. Arch]

Nifty Senate simulator that you can play around with by plugging in Trump's approval rating and incumbency and an "ineffective candidate" option (aka, Kelli Ward and Roy Moore). Under a 35% approval rating, Dems would be slight favorites to win the Senate.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/15/preview_2018_senate_results_with_rcps_interactive_tool.html

At a 32% disapproval, you get Alabama flipped under last week's conditions alongside TX, AZ, and NV, while Democrats hold onto all of their current seats. Democrats win 42% of the simulations in TN; if Marsha is nominated (+ineffective candidate), TN flips too.

[Dr. Arch]

Mmmm...look at that under 35 number:



Permanent majority imminent

If that is the end result, or even higher, it would have to be the worst performance among young(er) voters Republicans have posted since maybe 1974 or 1964, or perhaps even further back. The funny thing is, Republicans have been posting awful results with young voters for so long that this isn't even *that* surprising.

This is also part of why 2018 has me so interested - for the first time since young voters have trended hard against the GOP, we get to see just how low they can go. After all, 2006 and 2008 was only the beginning of their hard left trend, and from 2010-2016, that was all under Obama, whose presidency depressed the Dem base enough to result in some pretty big waves. But if Democrats really do get 70%, that will show that Republicans have lost even more support among Millennials/gen z under Obama than we originally thought, and that their bottom may actually be in the upper teens-lower 20s.

Republicans really should be worrying about this, but I rarely ever see any true concern for it. In fact, Republican lawmakers have basically accepted it and essentially take craps on the Millennial generation from their lofty perches. Meanwhile, these voters are growing up and will eventually displace baby boomers. What do Republicans think they will do then? Magically turn Republican just because they got older, all while the GOP has done nothing to reach out to them? Puh-lease.

Oh, they'll learn their lesson. They just need to wait a little bit.


-A Millennial

[Dr. Arch]

"No opinion poll would be complete without a reminder of our dumb asshole president’s depressingly non-zero approval rating.

A chart showing that, of those polled, 54% disapprove, 41% approve, and 5% neither approve nor disapprove of our dumb asshole president

What kind of person looks at the news and says “things are going pretty well”?


FF!!!!!

[Dr. Arch]

~Underwater in Louisiana

[Dr. Arch]

ARG - New Hampshire

27% Approve
66% Disapprove

Source

MT treasurer must be salivating over this poll.

Holy mother of...

[Dr. Arch]

I'm calling it. Lear is also Limoliberal

Yep, and he's also on ignore now too.