MA Senate - Special Election Results thread

[cinyc]

By region 4%:

[Psychic Octopus]

I'm on edge. Can someone link me to the Boston Globe?

[Lief 🗽]

Is Boston Globe working for anybody right now?

It's being kind of slow and I'm having to manually update it.

[Tender Branson]

Is Boston Globe working for anybody right now?

No, but the NYT has a good map too.

[RI]

Brown 51%-48% now.

[The Ex-Factor]

Is Boston Globe working for anybody right now?

Works fine for me. 51 - 48% now, 143/2168

[Ronnie]

This is exciting!

Are the precincts in so far good news for Coakley or Brown?

[Meeker]

AP is quickest and most reliable as always, FWIW.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Brown leads by just 3 now.

[Alcon]

Bernardston: -32.06%

Concord: -18.23% (this is a good number from a not-tiny town)

Mendon: -33.45% (this isn't)

[Psychic Octopus]

Can someone link me to the precincts?

[Torie]

Coakley from Obama:

Ashland: -31.14%

Holland town: -36.75%

Monroe town (tiny): -33.09%

Middleton: -31.28%

Oxford: -39.52%

These are not sustainable numbers.  The only caveat is that we have nothing from the Boston metro yet.  They are consistent with a win of 5% to 10%, maybe a tick more.

What was Obama's percentage win in Mass as a whole, which we subtract from these numbers to get a projected margin in this race?

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Coakley from Obama:

Ashland: -31.14%

Holland town: -36.75%

Monroe town (tiny): -33.09%

Middleton: -31.28%

Oxford: -39.52%

These are not sustainable numbers.  The only caveat is that we have nothing from the Boston metro yet.  They are consistent with a win of 5% to 10%, maybe a tick more.

What was Obama's percentage win in Mass as a whole, which we subtract from these numbers to get a projected margin in this race?

Obama won Massachusetts 62 to 36.

[perdedor]

Brown up 10,514 (5%)

[Nhoj]

Is Boston Globe working for anybody right now?

No, but the NYT has a good map too.

got a link too it?

[Alcon]

By town (not precinct): http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/MA_US_Senate_0119.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Just for reference, Coakley's magical number -- assuming all towns are proportionally represented to 2008 -- is -25.81%.  She will probably need more than that because Democrats turn out less in special elections.

This election is over unless Coakley pulls off a strong Boston performance; so far the evidence against that is fairly overwhelming.

[cinyc]

From the 6% data - Some Bellwethers are in.  It may be a long night if Coakley gets the turnout she needs in Dem strongholds:

[Kushahontas]

Is Boston Globe working for anybody right now?

No, but the NYT has a good map too.

I refuse to even visit that site anymore after the wank they caused with the MIA/Sri Lanka thing, the Christina Hendricks thing and the Michael C. Hall thing

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Brown back to a 5 point lead.

[Tender Branson]

Is Boston Globe working for anybody right now?

No, but the NYT has a good map too.

got a link too it?

http://www.nytimes.com

[Eraserhead]

Go Coakley!

[Torie]

Coakley from Obama:

Ashland: -31.14%

Holland town: -36.75%

Monroe town (tiny): -33.09%

Middleton: -31.28%

Oxford: -39.52%

These are not sustainable numbers.  The only caveat is that we have nothing from the Boston metro yet.  They are consistent with a win of 5% to 10%, maybe a tick more.

What was Obama's percentage win in Mass as a whole, which we subtract from these numbers to get a projected margin in this race?

Obama won Massachusetts 62 to 36.

So we subtract or add 26% to get the tie number in this race?

[Bo]

Coakley's pollster (Lake, according to Fox) blaming the White House; White House blaming Coakley.

Just love circular firing squad before the result is announced.

I agree with the WH on this one.

[Lunar]

nytimes.com has the results accurate to an additional decimal

[ag]

Looks to me like a 8-12% swing in most places. May be a very close election, but nothing seems clear - yet.