If they just keep forecasting a recession every year sooner or later they'll happen to be right...
That's what about the people who just throw around "bold" predictions. If just 1 is right, you'll be hailed a prophet, but people will of course ignore the other 99 out there predictions there were ignored.
Honestly this sort of happens on Atlas. People who are extremely bullish on one side usually have at least one of two races where they correctly predicted the upset, but the national picture was very off. People who said Trump won win MI/WI/PA aren't that special if they also thought Trump would win VA, CO, NM, NV, ect. Or in 2020 people who predicted GA flipping to Biden but also had him winning OH and IA.
Right, so why is it just you and a few economists saying this, instead of like, all or almost of them. If it's that clear cut, seems like it's something they'd all notice and be on top of.
