WV-03: Williams out

[Canis]

Ojeda cannot win in R+23 territory.

He is a strong candidate, but R+23 is just too much for him to beat.

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10+ points...

WV-03: R+23
WV-01: R+19
WV-02: R+17

and Manchin (D) will perform best in the most Republican District in the state?

Look at the 2016 Governor races results, where the guy with a D next to his name did the best here than the other 2 CD's IIRC. For a change, LimoLiberal is right.

Jim Justice (R) is a Republican.

State Treasure John Perdue   (D) elected in 2016 by a larger margin then Justice would like to have a few words with you

[Canis]

This is good news. Williams was a serious candidate and would be qualified in most jurisdictions, but his "generic Democratic"/polished style would have automatically doomed him in a district like this.

Worth noting that Ojeda won his State Senate district by the same amount as Justice did last year (58%), and his Senate district is a pretty good microcosm of WV-3 as a whole. Here are the gubernatorial numbers for WV-3:

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Where are you getting these numbers?

[Canis]

Ojeda is going to lose because this District has a PVI of R+23. Too steep for any Democrat to overcome whatsoever (unless they were an incumbent who started when the seat was not so heavily favorable to the other party)

In 2016 WV scored an R+22 in PVI calculation simultaneously as Jim Justice, a non-incumbent, won his bid for Governor as a Democrat by a very comfortable margin. The same year Ojeda won his R+31 State Senate district with 58% of the vote. He's a great fit for the district and in certain cases you can't judge a district solely by it's PVI.

But Justice was the king of the DINOs

Manchin is going to be winning WV-03 by 10 points at least this year also Perdue won the state treasures race by a wider margin than justice and didn't switch parties

[Canis]

Ojeda if he does win should challenge Justice in 2020 hes the perfect candidate for it

[Canis]

Also thanks for whoever posted that link I didn't know you could see congressional district results this distirct as a lot of cross ballot voters while Clinton only got around 28% in the district the same year Justice carried the district 55-37
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/statesub.php?year=2016&off=5&elect=0&fips=54903&f=0

[Canis]

https://twitter.com/krystalball/status/975017533764927489

[Canis]

https://twitter.com/TimRyan/status/976598846989103109
Father tim ryan endorses god Ojeda