Manitoba election 2016

[Filuwaúrdjan]

But then most of the difference between the NDP figure in that poll and federally would be from Winnipeg wouldn't it?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Socialist parties often value loyalty and to have heroically-yet-vainly fought to retain a seat for the cause in bad circumstances can count in your favour in later years.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

A terrible result with seats the Party has no business losing being lost, but better than looked plausible not long ago at all.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

But the swings in two of the divisions in the federal Elmwood-Transcona division were at the lower end and the class division in Winterpeg is historically North/South rather than East/West. Of course the numbers aren't greatly different for most of the more suburban ridings so maybe its just one of those weird cases where a pattern is created in the act of mapping.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The swing in Transcona was quite large (but not in the rest of Elmwood-Transcona), but that has more to do with a lack of incumbent.

Yes the swing pattern in the E-T riding rather neatly fits in with relative suburbanness (though as you say that's basically a coincidence).