Well, but this one in the prophetic column then:
Would it be better for Kerry to abandon FL?
The polls in FL do not show any big Kerry lead and never did; more recently they TEND to show a Bush victory there. If Kerry's numbers don't improve, would be better for Kerry NOT to make a great effort there and target Midwestern states, PA (and WV), NJ, and those weak areas in New Englland (NH, ME)?
This is straight strategic question.
Note the date. I go on the thread to mention WI, MN, PA, NH, ME (which Kerry took), OH, IA, and WV.
Not thate except for MN (and my totally wrong NJ), these were all close states which ended up being closer than FL, IIRC.
You also have to take in the National Average/ For the most part we are assuming a 50/50 election. In that case (against the National Average) Florida was closer than most thsoe other states listed