TX-SEN: True to Form

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Solid R, goodbye competitive Texas chances, only someone like Ivy Taylor could actually be competitive and even then not really.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Why do I feel like he will end up like Wendy Davis.

Because you think he will lose? Yeah no sh!t.

I think he means a race that people hyped up but ended up being a landslide

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Solid R, goodbye competitive Texas chances, only someone like Ivy Taylor could actually be competitive and even then not really.

If the House flips and the Dems net 6-10 Govs mansions and its a Democratic tsunami, when the Repeal of Obamacare fails, and the Freedom Caucus loses to the same Blue Dog Dems they defeated in 2010, then O'Rourke will win.

But, we didn't see the GOP wave in Nov, 2016 either.

eh even then I can't see it becoming a tossup

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Here are the toplines and crosstabs:
drive.google.com/file/d/0B5qGI87Yqv4Jc0MxZURDMXNrUEk/view?usp=sharing

Despite being a Google Consumer Poll that actually looks like a pretty good snapshot of how things stand right now....

[Terry the Fat Shark]

No, and Castro is an awful candidate for Texas, he'd go nowhere

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/998899223402860545

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Texas is not the deep south lol dems get something like 25-30% of the white vote at the very least typically (I might be underdoing that)

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://www.nbcdfw.com/news/politics/NBC-5-The-Dallas-Morning--News-SMU-to-Present-1st-Senate-Debate-493337501.html
Link to the livestream, video player will be on at 5:30 PM (Central) and debate runs from 6-7 PM Central

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Beto is destroying Ted Cruz right now.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

The debate IMO was a draw. Beto stood his ground but Cruz is an excellent and experienced debater. Regardless, this debate serves no purpose other than to increase Beto's name rec., and Beto knows that. No wonder Cruz didn't want many debates and wanted them on fall friday night's IIRC.

Good Point.... Friday Night Football is yuuge in Texas, even taking over local TV channels on many occasions....

One can not underestimate how distracted many Texans are not just with normal Friday Night activities, but additionally the added component of "what gets covered" on the local news....

Sure, Friday Night High School Football is big throughout the Country for parents of HS students, but in parts of Texas and the South, it becomes a sacred ritual....

Politics versus Football.... hmmm, "what would you rather watch?"

Anyone curious?

Here are the current scores....

https://www.texasfootball.com/scores/

Luckily it was raining in much of the State today

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Anybody catch that Cook moved the race to a tossup today? https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/1043107827684917248

It's only a tossup if you think that Reuters is a more reliable pollster than Quinnipiac. They really should have Wasserman do the Senate (and Gov) ratings as well as the House.

This is Quinnipiac first poll cycle ever in Texas.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://www.therealbeto.com/ lol

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Cruz's 12 million was a record for a Texas Senate race, the 38 million is a record for all Senate races.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

My dad early voted just over an hour ago in person, north dallas suburbs, obviously straight democrat, he texted me this:

“I voted. Remember there was hardly any line last time? This time there is a constant line about 100 yards long!”

"...and they all were voting for Cruz"

Yeah, I'm sure people in Dallas County were voting for Cruz, lol