Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide
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  Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide
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Author Topic: Italian Elections and Politics 2018: Yellow Tide  (Read 296516 times)
Leftbehind
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« Reply #1475 on: March 04, 2018, 05:51:42 PM »

Oh, and here is something to remember, the exit polls were sh**t in 2013, but one way they were sh**t was overestimating M5S. So the end result might exactly match the final polls, if that bias remains true.

?


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CrabCake
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« Reply #1476 on: March 04, 2018, 05:51:48 PM »

Are 18-25 year olds still disenfranchised for the Senate?

Yup. I missed the cut by literally 22 days. Angry

all that electoral reform and they didn't strike down that obviously moronic rule? Not only is it ageist, but it increases the chance of both houses having different composition, and therefore increases gridlock.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1477 on: March 04, 2018, 05:53:18 PM »

Who's less damaging, btw: Di Maio or Salvini?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1478 on: March 04, 2018, 05:54:10 PM »

8 Senatorial Precincts out of 61401, mostly from the north:

Right 284 votes, 44.30%
M5S 166 votes, 25.89%
Left: 149 votes, 23.24%

Lega is taking up 27 of that 44%
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1479 on: March 04, 2018, 05:54:28 PM »

Are 18-25 year olds still disenfranchised for the Senate?

Yup. I missed the cut by literally 22 days. Angry

all that electoral reform and they didn't strike down that obviously moronic rule? Not only is it ageist, but it increases the chance of both houses having different composition, and therefore increases gridlock.

Nobody gives a sh*t about young people. News at 11.
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #1480 on: March 04, 2018, 05:55:07 PM »

Are 18-25 year olds still disenfranchised for the Senate?

Yup. I missed the cut by literally 22 days. Angry

all that electoral reform and they didn't strike down that obviously moronic rule? Not only is it ageist, but it increases the chance of both houses having different composition, and therefore increases gridlock.

Speaking of which, has Renzi's (imo regressive) reform helped the forces of the Right? Well played, if so. *slow clap*
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1481 on: March 04, 2018, 05:55:42 PM »

Oh, and here is something to remember, the exit polls were sh**t in 2013, but one way they were sh**t was overestimating M5S. So the end result might exactly match the final polls, if that bias remains true.

?




Precedes to wipe a large amount of egg of his face, for taking sh**t at face value from random twitters.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #1482 on: March 04, 2018, 05:57:12 PM »

8 Senatorial Precincts out of 61401, mostly from the north:

Right 284 votes, 44.30%
M5S 166 votes, 25.89%
Left: 149 votes, 23.24%

Lega is taking up 27 of that 44%

Where are you watching results?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1483 on: March 04, 2018, 05:58:30 PM »

8 Senatorial Precincts out of 61401, mostly from the north:

Right 284 votes, 44.30%
M5S 166 votes, 25.89%
Left: 149 votes, 23.24%

Lega is taking up 27 of that 44%

Where are you watching results?

http://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/votanti/20180304/votantiCI

Also got Rai open and am watching that.
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #1484 on: March 04, 2018, 06:00:02 PM »

Precedes to wipe a large amount of egg of his face, for taking sh**t at face value from random twitters.


lol was kinda wishing you were right.
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #1485 on: March 04, 2018, 06:01:56 PM »

8 Senatorial Precincts out of 61401, mostly from the north:

Right 284 votes, 44.30%
M5S 166 votes, 25.89%
Left: 149 votes, 23.24%

Lega is taking up 27 of that 44%

Where are you watching results?

http://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/votanti/20180304/votantiCI

Also got Rai open and am watching that.

Thanks.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1486 on: March 04, 2018, 06:04:08 PM »


Have they ever been right?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #1487 on: March 04, 2018, 06:07:34 PM »

SWG projection (I have no idea how they got it, but apparently it's based on 12% of precincts) has M5S at 33%, PD at 18.7%, Lega at 17.4%, FI at 14%.

This is insanity.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1488 on: March 04, 2018, 06:07:52 PM »

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1489 on: March 04, 2018, 06:09:06 PM »

Rai are trying their hand at some initial projections - they popped up on screen for a moment, missed the exact numbers. But they had Right about 50 off of Lower chamber, at max, 10 off in senate I believe.
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #1490 on: March 04, 2018, 06:10:26 PM »

Other left: why you so weak? Sad
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1491 on: March 04, 2018, 06:12:05 PM »

SWG projection (I have no idea how they got it, but apparently it's based on 12% of precincts) has M5S at 33%, PD at 18.7%, Lega at 17.4%, FI at 14%.

This is insanity.

We barely have 0.1% of senatorial precincts on the main site, on the main site, and most of those precincts are from Liguria, Tuscany, Venice, and especially Piedmont, so Lega is doing incredibly well because it is the north.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1492 on: March 04, 2018, 06:12:17 PM »

I told you all that Renzi was a mistake.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1493 on: March 04, 2018, 06:12:42 PM »

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Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan
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« Reply #1494 on: March 04, 2018, 06:13:20 PM »



Maybe people were not convinced that Bersani and D'Alema are the best faces of other left?
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jaichind
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« Reply #1495 on: March 04, 2018, 06:14:40 PM »

Italian Senate Seats: RAI Exit Polls
Coalition/List   From   To
Center-Right   112   152
Five Star Movement   75   115
Center-Left   57   97
Free and Equal   2   6
Other   0   2
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #1496 on: March 04, 2018, 06:15:03 PM »

There are regional elections today in Lombardy and Lazio, as well.

Lombardy (Exit poll [last election's result]):

Center-right: 38-42% [43.1%]
Center-left: 31-35% [37.3%]
M5S: 17-21% [14.3%]
LeU: 2-4% [did not exist]

Lazio:

Center-left: 30-34% [40.7%]
Center-right: 26-30% [29.3%]
M5S: 25-29% [16.6%]

The center-left is certainly losing support, especially in Lazio, as is the center-right.  M5S is making impressive gains.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1497 on: March 04, 2018, 06:16:24 PM »


The old Refoundation vote is literally dead and the people who have led subsequent splinters have tended to be charmless apparatchiks well past their political sell by date and so have not done well at bringing votes from the PD with them (or getting them back from the Five Star Clown Car for that matter).
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #1498 on: March 04, 2018, 06:16:57 PM »

For anyone who knows: do PaP and/or CasaPound have a chance of making it into Parliament?
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jaichind
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« Reply #1499 on: March 04, 2018, 06:20:41 PM »

YouTrend senate
CENTROSINISTRA: 74 seats
CENTRODESTRA: 123 seats
M5S: 102 seats
LEU: 10 seats

Lower House
PD: 114
Other CSX: 24
(TOT CSX: 138 seats)
FI: 104
ALLOY: 107
FDI: 38
NCI: 8
(TOT CDX: 257 seats)
M5S: 204 seats
LEU: 19 seats


If true then it is what I expected: M5S-LN-FDI majority ...
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