SN: Trump will surge next week, believe me. It's also a national poll, doesn't matter.
Anyway, Biden is not up this much, but Mr. Trump is in a horrible situation 5 months out.
You're making the same mistake a lot of Dems made in 2016: Assuming, this election is just like the last. No, it isn't. 2016 wasn't 2012 and 2020 is not 2016. Just because Mr. Trump slightly overperformed polls in 2016 in the right places doesn't mean he pulls this trick again. Especially if he's doing this poorly. Let me also point out Biden is frequently polling over 50% (nation and statewide), something HRC barely did. Trump is even losing his internal polling. You can't discount all the polls across the board. And not just national polls. When was the last time he led in AZ? Let alone PA or MI. He's even tied in TX.
And what economic recovery are we talking here? A tiny fraction of the lost jobs came back. Good, but doesn't change the unemployment rate will stay high until election day. While Trump is not responsible for the pandemic itsself, he bears a main responsibility for the situation we're in because he downplayed the danger for too long. Anybody not a Trump hack knows that. And friendly reminder: Many anti-Trump voters don't decide based on the economy. If this was the case, 2018 wouldn't have been as bad for the GOP as it turned out. People voted because they wanted to make statement against Trump. Did he change since then? Nah. At least not for the better. He's got more problems than in 2018.
For sure, Trump could do things to improve his disastrous standing. But Trump is Trump. He will never try to reach out beyond his base. He's neither interested nor capable. He believes his 2016 victory is proof how he doesn't need to listen to anybody. But things have changed since then.
Even if this poll is an outlier, which I believe it is, look at any other. Obama in '12 or Bush in '04 never had such a horrible standing. If that was the case, they would have been declared DOA.
