The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread

[Lupo]

I have a feeling this won't play well with Republicans:

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Why?

[Lupo]

I have a feeling this won't play well with Republicans:

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Why?

Maybe it's a really well-written national anthem. They're all really good and tell a country's story

I mean why wouldn't it play well with Republicans?

[Lupo]

They're so desperate to find an anti-Obama, aren't they?  They seem to think that if they nominate a black guy, the blacks will become Republican, or if they get guys like Rubio or Cruz in the Senate, Hispanics will vote for them.
Do they really think people are that dumb?

I hope not.  One of the reasons I'm proud to be a Republican is that we nominate based on ability, not which boxes can be checked off.  Let the Dems pick a minority for the sake of picking a minority.

[Lupo]

They're so desperate to find an anti-Obama, aren't they?  They seem to think that if they nominate a black guy, the blacks will become Republican, or if they get guys like Rubio or Cruz in the Senate, Hispanics will vote for them.
Do they really think people are that dumb?

I hope not.  One of the reasons I'm proud to be a Republican is that we nominate based on ability, not which boxes can be checked off.  Let the Dems pick a minority for the sake of picking a minority.

You mean like Sarah Palin or Michael Steele?
I'm not a Democrat but Obama is clearly one of the most qualified to have ever become President.  You cannot possibly believe he was chosen because he was black.

Palin was chosen by the McCain campaign.  Steele by the RNC. 

Response to your statement regarding President Obama was addressed by other posters, with whom I agree.

[Lupo]

WSJ says Christie, Paul and Ryan have improved their standing in the shutdown.

Improved their standing with establishment GOP, but Cruz has helped himself with primary (and especially caucus) voters.

That's arguable.  I think GOP primary voters have shown a significant deference to electability in the past two cycles, and Ted Cruz is not electable.  Now, it's my belief that in light of the McCain and Romney losses their will be a strong push for a more principled conservative to generate excitement, but Cruz would have to compete with other candidates just as principled but much more electable than he.

[Lupo]

Manchin is "leaving all of his options open."

http://go.bloomberg.com/political-capital/2014-04-18/manchin-chewing-2016/

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I can't conceive of any possible way that Manchin gets the Democratic nomination.

VP?