Also hilarious that people are surprised that Trump's rallies didn’t have an impact here. Obama campaigned for Anthony Brown in Maryland in 2014 and couldn’t win that race for his party. Trump couldn’t even sway West Virginia to send Republican to the Senate in 2018.
It just doesn’t matter. Midterms tend to be ugly for the incumbent party for a reason.
Well I do think he may have turned a +1 Beshear win into a .4 one. I just don't think rallies are magic wands that can flip +20 results.
True, I agree that it probably helped Bevin a little, but clearly not by 5-10 points. I also think there’s some truth to the theory that his rallies tend to energize Democrats just as much Republicans (I also saw this in MT last year).