Press X to doubt.
In all seriousness, the Republicans have a lot of other, more attractive targets this cycle. They're not going to spend on this one.
Republicans aren’t flipping the house without this district.
I bet no one here was predicting CA-25 to flip before the polls said so.
Can we stop pretending that candidate quality, campaigns, and circumstances do not matter?
In general 2016/18 trends are very real and in neutral it seems that elections follow them strongly. Like WI-07 literally just did.
CA-25 being won by Garcia does not = the house flips back to the GOP in November. Too many winnable seats for the GOP had flawed candidates and there are many suburban districts that the GOP is still very vulnerable in.
The funny thing about the Wisconsin 7th special is that most counties voted similarly to 2016, but the 3 ones that Hillary Clinton managed to retain in 2016 had Obama-level margins instead.