Sorry if this question seems dense, but can somebody spell out for me what is going on in Florida, preferably in a simultaneously non-doomer and non-optimist way? Do Democrats really need a 650k party advantage by election day? Are Republicans actually surging and beating expectations? Does this take into account how NPA are likely to vote? (Who do those voters even favor?) And does any of this give us any insight into who's favored? I'm not looking for any particular answer, I'm just having a hard time grasping this.
Thanks in advance.
I can’t really speak impartially being an optimist, but from what I know, the data only indicates who is voting and how they’ll vote. It also doesn’t take into account independent voters, nor does it indicate what the Election Day vote looks like.