Will North Carolina vote to the left of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 08:31:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Will North Carolina vote to the left of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes
 
#2
Left of Pennsylvania only
 
#3
Left of Wisconsin only
 
#4
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: Will North Carolina vote to the left of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin?  (Read 969 times)
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,567
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 08, 2021, 03:03:30 PM »

No.
Logged
Leroy McPherson fan
Leroymcphersonfan
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 397
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2021, 04:03:49 PM »

No. I expect Trump to win North Carolina by more than in 2020.
Logged
TodayJunior
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,566
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2021, 04:50:57 PM »

Not yet. Give it about three cycles.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2021, 04:55:51 PM »

It could, but I'm going to guess that it won't in 2024.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,839
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2021, 04:57:21 PM »

No. North Carolina is stagnant for now, since the Dems are gaining in the Research Triangle whereas the GOP is gaining in the rural areas. That's the main reason why Tillis was able to win and Perdue wasn't. Pertaining to the 2024 Presidential election, it might vote to the left of Wisconsin, but no way it votes to the left of Pennsylvania.
Logged
Senator Spark
Spark498
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,729
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: 0.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2021, 05:31:33 PM »

Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,659
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2021, 06:09:58 PM »

I still doubt it.
Logged
Ron DeSantis enthusiast
FranciscoM97
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 480


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2021, 10:20:08 PM »

Not yet, maybe in 2028 and only in Wisconsin, I think it's going to take time for Pennsylvania.
Logged
slothdem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 531


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2021, 10:38:26 AM »

No, and only Wisconsin is a possibility.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,448
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2021, 10:46:28 AM »
« Edited: October 09, 2021, 11:03:08 AM by Mr. Kanye West »

Biden is at 48/47 Approvals and he won 50/45% so it's a 304 map until further notice they said that on Fox News last night


Also, the Border Crisis is gonna hurt D's on TX and FL in Midterms since Biden isn't enforcing the Wall

268 D's win WI, PA and MI and AZ 11/ GA 15/VA 13 gets D's over 270 likewise NC 15 gets D's over 270 but D's clinch with WI

WU, MI, PA votes D before wave insurance seats since Gore and Kerry won them not the other way around, Hillary tried to win FL before WI and that strategy failed she lost the Rust belt and FL otherwise I'm a D friendly Environment NC would have voted D in 2020
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,284
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2021, 11:38:58 AM »

Wisconsin maybe, Pennsylvania no.
Logged
DPKdebator
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,086
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 3.65

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2021, 11:46:34 AM »

It's possible with regards to Wisconsin, but unlikely for Pennsylvania. Long-term Pennsylvania will stay a tossup and Wisconsin will become a red state.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,238
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2021, 02:55:45 PM »

Logged
BG-NY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,524


Political Matrix
E: -1.23, S: 0.42

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2021, 03:06:52 PM »

Assuming Biden is unable to run, Pennsylvania yes, Wisconsin possibly.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2021, 03:17:08 PM »

Its possible but not likely yet in 2024.
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2021, 09:47:16 PM »

No Although could happen by 2040
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,010
United States
P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2021, 08:45:29 AM »

Wisconsin I think yes certainly

Pennsylvania's a tossup if Biden's running (he has a home turf advantage in NE Pennsylvania)
But I'd think North Carolina would definitely vote to the left of Pennsylvania if Harris is the nominee (and a subsequent collapse would occur in NE Pennsylvania)
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,209
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2021, 02:08:03 PM »

I actually think NC will vote to the left of WI and very well could be left of PA as well. If there's an unexpected surge of black voters and a surge of WWC voters at the same time, It's plausible.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,741
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 11, 2021, 02:44:44 PM »

More likely than not, but by no means assured.  If you only included WI, I would say it's 75% likely. 
Logged
UncleSam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,520


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 11, 2021, 03:01:13 PM »

I actually think Rs win WI by like 3 and it rapidly falls off the map of competitiveness afterwards, so I’m gonna go with yes. NC is fairly stagnant and even slightly left trending and will probably be a D leaning swing state by the end of the decade.
Logged
Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope
Seef
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,709
Canada


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: 1.57

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 11, 2021, 03:23:12 PM »

Only if Kamala is the nominee and Roy Cooper is her running mate.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.227 seconds with 12 queries.