How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms

[OSR stands with Israel]

What was the worst

[OSR stands with Israel]

2010 for the Democrats for sure. 2022 doesn't look great for them, but I don't see it being 2010 or 1994 2.0 either.

Did 1994 look bad in January though as it seems like things collapsed for the democrats during the summer and the same in 2014 . Republicans in 2006 seemed to be the favorites to hold the house  according to the pundits till May

[OSR stands with Israel]

It's total hackery to think that the Dems are gonna have a worse year this year than 2010 or 1994, sorry. In order for that to be realized, the GOP would have to win seats like Jennifer Wexton's and Julia Brownley's. It's not happening lol. Look at the Sabato guide to them winning 35 seats. It's only barely even possible, given the maps we have now, and to net more seats than 2010 or 1994, or even Dems in 2006 or 2018, the GOP has to win all 35 of those seats, lose none, and gain a few more shockers. It's not happening.

GOP gaining 35 House Seats means its a bigger wave than 2010 as Republicans only need to gain 29 seats to hit 2010 numbers in the House

[OSR stands with Israel]

All the other waves Democrats suffered broke late, or at least became obvious late. 2022 is pretty similar to how the 2018 cycle went. 2018 looked like a wave even earlier though, but the odds of losing the House were about the same because Democrats started 19 seats lower. The actual result will look most like 2006 or 1994 because both houses will flip in one election.

Ehh Id say 2018 started looking like a Dem Wave around the same time 2022 stated looking like a GOP wave and that was with the Virginia election's .

Keep in mind Osoff underperformed Hillary in the GA-6 special