The nominee in 2016 will be another establishment candidate.
The establishment of the party, represented by folks like Romney, Rove, and the Bush family, are still searching for a suitable candidate. Meanwhile, the Jim DeMint-wing of the party is flush with money from the Heritage Foundation and Sheldon Adelson (among others) to mount a serious "outsider" candidacy. Is this the year that an insurgent candidate breaks the cycle, or will the 2016 be another coronation process?
Adelson learned from his mistake and is looking to finance someone from the establishment who has a chance of winning, somebody like Bush, Christie, Walker, etc.