COVID-19 Megathread 4: Grandma Got Run Over by the Dow Jones

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

You can't blame Governor Tony Evers if Wisconsin sees a Covid-19 spike in a few weeks. The election photos coming in so far look like a recipe for disaster.

I'll blame him, though not as much as the Republicans.  He should have supported a delay in the election from the beginning.

[Badger]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/politics/trump-sidelines-pentagon-watchdog-coronavirus-funds/index.html

Trump grifting further now, disgusting.

" fake news! Trump is doing a great job handling the crisis! Cares about America first! Democrats are just politicizing this! MAGA!! "

/40-45% of Americans--somehow.

[President Johnson]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/politics/trump-sidelines-pentagon-watchdog-coronavirus-funds/index.html

Trump grifting further now, disgusting.

And Repiblicans on Capitol Hill are doing.... nothing.

Or did I forget Little Marco moving from "concerned" to "alarmed"?

[MasterJedi]

You can't blame Governor Tony Evers if Wisconsin sees a Covid-19 spike in a few weeks. The election photos coming in so far look like a recipe for disaster.

I'll blame him, though not as much as the Republicans.  He should have supported a delay in the election from the beginning.

Republicans (Vos and Fitzgerald) said no the whole time, so yeah, have fun with that.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

You can't blame Governor Tony Evers if Wisconsin sees a Covid-19 spike in a few weeks. The election photos coming in so far look like a recipe for disaster.

I'll blame him, though not as much as the Republicans.  He should have supported a delay in the election from the beginning.

I don't disagree that he should have advocated for it sooner but there is apparently no way to get a SCOWIS or the legislature to do what he wanted. It wouldn't have made a difference. The ultimate problem is WI-LEG and SCOWIS are dangerous partisan actors.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

   Any one have thoughts about what states might become the next NYC/NJ area, not in terms of total deaths of course, but in per capita terms?  For the worst case scenario overall to play out this will need to start happening. I'm cautiously optimistic that thats not occuring. In Louisiana for instance deaths have been in the mid two figures for many days now, and the rise in ventilators, at least according to the state wide website is unfortunatly going up every day, but not by alot.
   Michigan is also concerning, but I wonder if deaths there are plateauing or if its a false calm.
On the whole I'm starting to lean more optimistic overall that we are heading for the lower side of deaths due to the virus.

One hopeful sign is that right now there aren't any states that where is it increasing at a rate that New York was 2-3 weeks ago.  No state is doubling it's number of cases more frequently than every 5 days.
https://app.flourish.studio/visualisation/1817623/

[Nyvin]

You can't blame Governor Tony Evers if Wisconsin sees a Covid-19 spike in a few weeks. The election photos coming in so far look like a recipe for disaster.

I'll blame him, though not as much as the Republicans.  He should have supported a delay in the election from the beginning.

No,  the blame for this one lies squarely with Republicans,  not Evers in anyway whatsoever.   I can pretty much guarantee the public polls will show this too.

[forgotten manatee]

You can't blame Governor Tony Evers if Wisconsin sees a Covid-19 spike in a few weeks. The election photos coming in so far look like a recipe for disaster.

I'll blame him, though not as much as the Republicans.  He should have supported a delay in the election from the beginning.

I don't disagree that he should have advocated for it sooner but there is apparently no way to get a SCOWIS or the legislature to do what he wanted. It wouldn't have made a difference. The ultimate problem is WI-LEG and SCOWIS are dangerous partisan actors.

Exactly. Perhaps come November, they'll pay the price.

[Badger]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/politics/trump-sidelines-pentagon-watchdog-coronavirus-funds/index.html

Trump grifting further now, disgusting.

And Repiblicans on Capitol Hill are doing.... nothing.

Or did I forget Little Marco moving from "concerned" to "alarmed"?

Susan Collins is reportedly upgraded from "bothered" to "furoughed brows"!

[Middle-aged Europe]

Buzzfeed is attempting to sell its German branch amid financial problems related to the coronavirus.

(German source only: https://www.sueddeutsche.de/medien/buzzfeed-verkauf-1.4871960)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

IHME updated their model and now it includes EU as well. They project 152,000 will die in EU (first wave) of which 66,000 in UK. Obviously, a lot of assumptions, high uncertainty and so on.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
http://www.healthdata.org/news-release/new-covid-19-forecasts-europe-italy-spain-have-passed-peak-their-epidemics-uk-early-its

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

U.S Deaths today are at 1,821

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/W7VOA/status/1247598876472872960

[Nyvin]

U.S Deaths today are at 1,821

Holy crap...

[GP270watch]

U.S Deaths today are at 1,821

Holy crap...

http://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

This is within the range predicted. It's expected to be pretty bad for the next 21 days. How bad depends on what we do personally with our interactions, how hospitals can treat the infected, and what kind of peak or plateau we have.

[Badger]

U.S Deaths today are at 1,821

Holy crap...

http://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

This is within the range predicted. It's expected to be pretty bad for the next 21 days. How bad depends on what we do personally with our interactions, how hospitals can treat the infected, and what kind of peak or plateau we have.

That shaded Broad range of potential death rates based on uncertainties is... Disconcerting, to say the least.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/W7VOA/status/1247598876472872960

WTF? That's a very high number.

[The Dowager Mod]

https://twitter.com/aravosis/status/1247638685652262912

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/W7VOA/status/1247598876472872960

WTF? That's a very high number.

And a much higher number than we've previously seen at that.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/W7VOA/status/1247598876472872960

WTF? That's a very high number.

It could be even worse, or somewhat better.  There's a wide confidence interval (95% CI 3.8–8.9) in their calculations.

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/health/hydroxychloroquine-shortage-lupus-arthritis/index.html

Apparently it gets worse, as always with Trump! His peddling of the drug is depriving it from people who actually need it!

[FrancoAgo]

https://twitter.com/aravosis/status/1247638685652262912

i don't see a 2nd wave
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china-hong-kong-sar/

[FrancoAgo]

https://twitter.com/W7VOA/status/1247598876472872960

WTF? That's a very high number.

It could be even worse, or somewhat better.  There's a wide confidence interval (95% CI 3.8–8.9) in their calculations.

is based on very few cases...
could be already surpassed from other research with a much larger sample

[brucejoel99]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/health/hydroxychloroquine-shortage-lupus-arthritis/index.html

Apparently it gets worse, as always with Trump! His peddling of the drug is depriving it from people who actually need it!

I hope somebody finds a way to sue the sh*t out of everyone of those stupid dumbasses that peddled this bullsh*t.

[It’s so Joever]

1.8k deaths per day isn’t even surprising. It will get worse.