California Special Election Analysis (user search)
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Author Topic: California Special Election Analysis  (Read 2293 times)
phk
phknrocket1k
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Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22
« on: November 10, 2005, 04:01:45 PM »
Will anybody be doing a county analysis on Props 74-77?
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2005, 04:17:23 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2005, 04:22:06 PM by phknrocket1k »
Quote from: John Ford on November 10, 2005, 04:15:56 PM
One point is that Imperial went heavily yes on 73, and no on 75/76.  Hispanics matter here big time, and the big winners will be those who know how to win them over.

This state won't be majority pro-choice for long.

Well, to be honest with you Ford; I thought 73 would pass narrowly. \

The reason why I suppose it failed was because many people thought it was 'Parental Consent' instead of 'Parental Notification', as I know many 'Yes' voters here in Fresno who would have switched to 'No' if it was Consent. Yes, I'm talking about Hispanic youngsters.
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22
« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2005, 09:46:48 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade (GM) on November 10, 2005, 05:28:18 PM
What killed 73 was the weak support from rural and more conservative areas of California, which I didn't expect.  What caused that, I have no idea.

More of the White rural areas didn't have the support for it, like Lassen and Modoc.
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22
« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2005, 01:39:07 AM »
California and Texas Hispanics are different,
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22
« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2005, 01:42:50 AM »
Quote from: Senator Ebowed on November 11, 2005, 12:07:51 AM
Quote from: jfern on November 10, 2005, 04:27:35 PM
Sparely populated rural mormom county Alpine (40% mormon) went 63% against parental notification.

Low Mormon turn-out, maybe?

Ebowed, all you need is a couple thousand San Franciscans/Sacramentans buying log cabins to cause that.
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