What is your stance on national/state polls right now?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I want to gauge Atlas thoughts on the polling this year

[YE]

Option 2 due to non-response bias only but Biden still has a good chance at 413 EV and winning by 10-11. Anything more is a stretch.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think TX, MT and AK, will go right it's an oil state and HEGAR is too liberal and so is Bullock and Gross to win. The max D's are gonna get are 8 seats not 12 and all the other Senate candidates Jamie Harrison, Bollier and GREENFIELD can win

[Non Swing Voter]

accurately gauging the trendiness but probably underestimating Trump support.  I still think Biden probably has a significant lead in the states he needs to win though.

[new_patomic]

There is an interesting divide I'm seeing.

You have some polls, both national and state, which are pointing to a titanic blowout. That Biden has opened up an even larger lead in the wake of the debate and Trump's COVID diagnosis.

And then you have polls which show, again at both levels, that no the race is basically totally unchanged versus where it was two weeks ago. Biden with moderate leads in most swing states, ahead mid-high single digits nationally.

[Buzz]

Underestimating Trump a bit.  He’s down like 10 right now when in reality he will lose by 6

[WD]

I think their spot on, Biden will likely win by 9-10 at this point.

[Rep Jessica]

Are off, underestimating Trump support. Trump is going to be much closer on election day! Florida is going Trump, Ga is going Trump, Texas is going trump, Nc is going Trump and it'll be close in Pa. Pa will be the game ball.

[Hammy]

Both are being under-estimated in Rust Belt states, Trump probably more, same as 2016 and 18. Biden is being underestimated in the Sun Belt (outside of Florida where I honestly have no idea.)

[Ljube]

Most likely underestimating Trump due to non-response bias.

By how much, it's anybody's guess.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Only 4M VBM or Early votes have counted, I am a poll worker that doesn't generate a 15 point lead for Biden, Biden would have to have 15m Early votes by now to generate an 80M vote spread. It's likely gonna be a 3to 5point victory with Biden flipping AZ, MI, PA and WI and a 51/49 Senate for a 70/65M vote EC victory by Biden. Dems winning AZ, CO, GA, IA or NC and ME. They never poll CO, and it's assumed Hickenlooper is gonna win by 10 more like 4, like Kelly is

Online polls oversample blue state voters, I took 3 You Gov polls in the last week