General Election called in Greece

[Tender Branson]

Turnout is relatively high: Until 11am local time already 1/3 of the 9.8 Mio. eligible voters went to the polls.

The official site for elections returns is here:

http://www.ekloges.ypes.gr/pages_en/index.html

Polls will close at 7pm local time (noon in NY).

I expect a heavy beating for the Conservatives, moderate gains by the PASOK gains for the 3rd parties, like LAOS, the Communists and the Radical Left.

[Tender Branson]

I expect a heavy beating for the Conservatives, moderate gains by the PASOK gains for the 3rd parties, like LAOS, the Communists and the Radical Left.

Actually not quite, both the ND and PASOK are down from 45% and 40% in 2004 to around 36% and 35% now. The biggest gains should be LAOS, which should gain representation, KKE, and some tiny gains for the Radical left. (though that poll includes roughly 13% undecided)

With undecideds divided equally between the top 5 and taking into consideration around 2% for other parties we should get:

ND 38.16%
PASOK 36.96%
KKE 9.16%
LAOS 7.06%
SYZRIA 6.66%
Others 2.00%
TOTAL 100%
 
So some moderate loses for PASOK, a probable loss of majority for ND, and gains for KKE, LAOS, SYZRIA. I predict the other parties will be the ones coming out re-enforced.

I predict the following:

PASOK: 40%
ND: 39%
KKE: 8%
LAOS: 5%
SYRIZA: 5%
Others: 3%

OK, just saw the PASOK got 40.5% in 2004, so it would be more like a stagnation for them and a loss for the ND ...

[Tender Branson]

I´m curious why there´s such a high number of eligible voters in Greece. In this election 9.8 Mio. out of a total population of 11.2 Mio. are eligible to vote - or 88%. That would mean that only 12% of the total population is under-18 ... Or is there a high number of Greeks Abroad who are eligible to vote ? Does anyone know ?

[Tender Branson]

Current Governments in Europe:



(Post if I colored a state wrong ...)

[Tender Branson]

I think your classification is a bit rough, some of those should be centrists, Christian democrats, or liberals.

I colored Belgium blue because the Flemish Conservatives won the latest elections, Finland has a more centrist coalition, the same in Estonia. I decided to color Austria red, allthough there´s a grand coalition and Germany blue (reversed situation) - but both are centrist. I don´t know about Romania, it´s a mix of center-right (president) and liberalism (prime minister) ...

[Tender Branson]

Current Governments in Europe:



(Post if I colored a state wrong ...)

I'm with Hashemite. The governments of fx The Netherlands and Switzerland contains parties of both the left and the right.

Better like this ?