Ontario general election 2018 - Results Thread

[Oryxslayer]

From the other thread - CBC youtube thread that works in US if you are there:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SY14V2CgDNI

Unless the NDP and/or Liberal vote collapses, and it's a PC landslide, we probably won't know where we stand until 11 pm or even later.

This

[Oryxslayer]

Will there be an exit poll?

No exit polls in Canada.

[Oryxslayer]

Polls are now closed.

[Oryxslayer]

Most seats called already with <10 polls are the safe ones, but it is clear Ford has a majority govt.

[Oryxslayer]

CBC calls Guelph for greens.

[Oryxslayer]

Results came way too quick.
No much excitement.
Dang voting machines.

[Oryxslayer]

Wynne only has a lead of 890 votes in Don Valley West...

[Oryxslayer]

The immediate takeaway appears that Wynnes concession or something pulled voters back to the Libs in Key seats - they look to be getting higher then any projector gave them.

[Oryxslayer]

Liberals lead in Scarborough-Guildwood down to 2 votes
Thunder Bay Atikokan down to 8 votes.

TBA flipped

[Oryxslayer]

Ford almost have a majority of called seats....

[Oryxslayer]

Is it possible Wynne could get Foley'ed?

She has a lead of 860-ish votes with 36/53 polls.

[Oryxslayer]

Was Kitchener South expected to be this close, and a PC win? Most prognosticators gave it to the NDP. Same with St. Cathrine.

[Oryxslayer]

Why are they calling TBA for the Libs with less than 400 votes and more than 20 polls?

They arn't, they are just saying libs are ahead there right now. But right now the NDP is ahead, but that has flipped with every update. Its probably going to be called with the last poll.

Edit: it just flashed on the tracker blew Ford's speach on CBC, still uncalled, NDP lead.

[Oryxslayer]

TBA just updated, only 3 polls left to count out of 73. Libs lead by 3! votes.

[Oryxslayer]

Outside of the 7 seats the Libs currently have (3 called, 4 uncalled), the seats the libs could pick up for number 8 are:

-Scarborough-Guildwood
-Toronto St. pauls
-Thunder Bay Akiton

Edit: Englinton-Lawrence flipped to a PC lead right now, so libs now need 2/4

[Oryxslayer]

Ford officially has a majority of seats called for the PC's. Here is where it stood at that moment:

[Oryxslayer]

Wynne's out. And since it appears that the Liberals will not get to eight seats, she may resign as MPP.

As leader, or her seat? Cause she has a 43 vote lead with 1 poll left...

[Oryxslayer]

PC's win Kitchener Conestoga, Brampton west, and Peterborough-Kawartha, all close seats that they pulled out. 

[Oryxslayer]

Looks like the undecideds broke late for the PCs who are now ahead by 7%. Were the polls just underestimating them, and the movement towards the PC's at the end a sign of things to come? Or perhaps the weekend scandal appeared to voters as truly fake news thanks to it's timing and personal target? Either way, the NDP fell way short of polls - both seat and percent.

[Oryxslayer]

Libs pull ahead in Scarborough-Guildwood. Probably key if they want 8, since this may be number 7. That would be either TBA, or Engilton-Lawrence.

[Oryxslayer]

The prospective #8 for the OLP is TBay-Atikokan, which has a small NDP lead with 1 poll left.

They are only  845 votes back with 4 polls left in Eng-Lawrence. Also a possibility, but a harder one.

[Oryxslayer]

YSW called for NDP, a few ridings left...

[Oryxslayer]

Before the results started coming in, the CBC reported that York-Simcoe would report around midnight eastern and that Kiiwetinoong would report around 1 AM eastern.

They are both safe seats - NDP will always win the reservation north, the PC's have Mulroney in the peninsula seat. Nope point to really stay up for them - I'm just waiting to see if the libs hit 8.

[Oryxslayer]

Kathleen Wynee kept her seat (for the time being?)

Wynne leads by 160, that probably is too large to overcome in the event of a recount.

PC officially called in Ottawa West Nepean, so NDP under 40 barring a flip in another seat.

[Oryxslayer]

Also WOULD REALLY LIKE THE LAST THUNDER BAY POLL TO BE ANNOUNCED

Seriously. Official party status for the libs is 75% based on that poll. (25% on Eng-Lawrence 3 polls)

Edit: LUL called right not, no votes in that empty poll.