MI Sen- Can John James pull an upset in Michigan with good debate performances?
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  MI Sen- Can John James pull an upset in Michigan with good debate performances?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Can John James Pull an upset and defeat 3 term incumbent Debbie Stabenow?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
#3
Maybe		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: MI Sen- Can John James pull an upset in Michigan with good debate performances?  (Read 2601 times)
Xing
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« Reply #25 on: October 11, 2018, 05:55:15 PM »
Yeah, Republicans should go all in here in Michigan, since it's definitely winnable and they have Missouri and Indiana in the bag.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #26 on: October 11, 2018, 05:57:42 PM »
Yes
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Old Man Willow
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« Reply #27 on: October 11, 2018, 05:58:51 PM »
No. Stabenow is relatively liked in MI, and Trump has imploded in the upper Midwest.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #28 on: October 11, 2018, 06:04:52 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on October 11, 2018, 07:59:45 AM
I say yes if he has great debate performances. The guy is a rising star and MI polls are notoriously bad the last few cycles.  Dems have to be up +5 in the polls for me to actually think they are leading and the latest poll has Debbie +9 with the two debates next week. Also he could do better than expected among African Americans.

Lol even the muah 2016 guy has Stabenow winning in his prediction, so....
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SN2903
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« Reply #29 on: October 11, 2018, 11:16:45 PM »
I think he can win. He is only down 9 and MI polls are notoriously bad.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #30 on: October 12, 2018, 02:00:05 AM »
« Edited: October 12, 2018, 02:07:41 AM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »
Quote from: SN2903 on October 11, 2018, 11:16:45 PM
I think he can win. He is only down 9 and MI polls are notoriously bad.

I mean are we just going to take it as a fact that he IS down by 9 because this ONE poll showed it? Don’t get me wrong, I think Stabenow wins by somewhere in the neighborhood of 9, probably a little more, but 1. you shouldn’t take this one poll as the truth when it sticks out, and 2. yes every sane person knows that James still has a chance, but Stabenow also has the advantage, even your prediction shows Stabenow with the advantage.

So rcp was about 4 points off in Michigan in 2016, which isn’t phenomenal but it aint that bad either considering that is around the further end of a moe.
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Doimper
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« Reply #31 on: October 12, 2018, 02:17:15 AM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 12, 2018, 02:00:05 AM
2. yes every sane person knows that James still has a chance

LOOOOL
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IceSpear
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« Reply #32 on: October 12, 2018, 04:17:28 AM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 11, 2018, 06:04:52 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on October 11, 2018, 07:59:45 AM
I say yes if he has great debate performances. The guy is a rising star and MI polls are notoriously bad the last few cycles.  Dems have to be up +5 in the polls for me to actually think they are leading and the latest poll has Debbie +9 with the two debates next week. Also he could do better than expected among African Americans.

Lol even the muah 2016 guy has Stabenow winning in his prediction, so....

"muah 2016", LOL
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