Turkish snap election, June 2018

[Oryxslayer]

Every box opened in Istanbul sees the province drop Erdogan support by 0.1%. He is at 50.3% right now and will probably drop below 50.

[Oryxslayer]

Ince tweets that only 37% of the vote is counted according to the official electoral board and want his people to stay. We are entering a confusing area as the opposition has every motive to make the elections appear dishonest, but Erdogan has every reason to win and the tools to fudge the numbers.

[Oryxslayer]

Here's an interesting thing...nowhere on yenisafak.com does it give a statistical breakdown of the votes, just the percentages. Easier to hide the numbers that you fudged if done correctly.

[Oryxslayer]

https://www.yenisafak.com/

With 98.4% of the vote counted it is Erdogan at 52.7%

With 95.5% of the vote counted it is
AKP-MHP    53.7% 
CHP-IYI-SP 34.1%
HDP           11.2%

Should note that this is not the vote but ballot box's. As with precincts, not all ballot boxes are created equal.

[Oryxslayer]

Local maps I made.