heatcharger
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,479
Political Matrix E: -1.04, S: -0.24
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« on: April 21, 2017, 09:16:03 PM » |
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25% Le Pen 23% Macron 22% Fillon 15% Melenchon 11% Hamon 4% NDA
I highly suspect Le Pen is slightly under-polling and Mélenchon is over-polling significantly. The youngs who may have flipped over will fall back into Le Pen's column, and I think some leftists will go back to Hamon. I don't think the PS has deteriorated enough for Hamon to get into single-digits.
Some runoff predictions:
58% Macron 42% Le Pen
53% Fillon 47% Le Pen
60% Macron 40% Fillon
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