2017 French Presidential Election - Predictions Thread (user search)
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  2017 French Presidential Election - Predictions Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2017 French Presidential Election - Predictions Thread  (Read 9987 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,479
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: April 21, 2017, 09:16:03 PM »

25% Le Pen
23% Macron
22% Fillon
15% Melenchon
11% Hamon
4% NDA

I highly suspect Le Pen is slightly under-polling and Mélenchon is over-polling significantly. The youngs who may have flipped over will fall back into Le Pen's column, and I think some leftists will go back to Hamon. I don't think the PS has deteriorated enough for Hamon to get into single-digits.

Some runoff predictions:

58% Macron
42% Le Pen

53% Fillon
47% Le Pen

60% Macron
40% Fillon
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