Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/28

Approve 38 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (-1)

[American2020]

Colorado

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http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/coloradans-increasingly-displeased-with-president-trump-poll-finds

https://mediaassets.thedenverchannel.com/document/2017/11/29/Keating%20Colorado%20Poll%20November%202017%20XTABS%20Part%20One%20-%20For%20Release_72983933_ver1.0.pdf?_ga=2.251906825.1467516554.1512000768-1705114113.1512000768

[Dr. Arch]

Colorado

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http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/coloradans-increasingly-displeased-with-president-trump-poll-finds

https://mediaassets.thedenverchannel.com/document/2017/11/29/Keating%20Colorado%20Poll%20November%202017%20XTABS%20Part%20One%20-%20For%20Release_72983933_ver1.0.pdf?_ga=2.251906825.1467516554.1512000768-1705114113.1512000768

Holy mother of bloodbath, 66%!

[IceSpear]

Colorado

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http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/coloradans-increasingly-displeased-with-president-trump-poll-finds

https://mediaassets.thedenverchannel.com/document/2017/11/29/Keating%20Colorado%20Poll%20November%202017%20XTABS%20Part%20One%20-%20For%20Release_72983933_ver1.0.pdf?_ga=2.251906825.1467516554.1512000768-1705114113.1512000768

Holy mother of bloodbath, 66%!

Trump better hope Hillary runs again so CO can maintain its safe R status.

#2014AtlasThrowbacks

[KingSweden]

Colorado

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http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/coloradans-increasingly-displeased-with-president-trump-poll-finds

https://mediaassets.thedenverchannel.com/document/2017/11/29/Keating%20Colorado%20Poll%20November%202017%20XTABS%20Part%20One%20-%20For%20Release_72983933_ver1.0.pdf?_ga=2.251906825.1467516554.1512000768-1705114113.1512000768

Holy mother of bloodbath, 66%!

Those numbers portend a bad night in the Colorado Legislature for the GOP if true

[scutosaurus]

Colorado

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http://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/coloradans-increasingly-displeased-with-president-trump-poll-finds

https://mediaassets.thedenverchannel.com/document/2017/11/29/Keating%20Colorado%20Poll%20November%202017%20XTABS%20Part%20One%20-%20For%20Release_72983933_ver1.0.pdf?_ga=2.251906825.1467516554.1512000768-1705114113.1512000768

Colorado is, and always has been, Safe D for many races in 2018. The CO GOP is done.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/29

Approve 36 (-2)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

[American2020]

POLITICO/Morning Consult

Approve: 43% (-1)
Disapprove: 52% (+2)
No opinion: 5%

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker

Approve: 39 (-1)
Disapprove: 60 (+3, new high for this poll)

Strongly approve 20 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 47 (+2)

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

California, Public Policy Institute
Nov 10-19 (Last poll Sept. 27)

All adults
Trump approval: 28% (+1)
Trump disapproval: 68% (-1)
Undecided: 5% (+1)

Likely voters
Trump approval: 34% (+3)
Trump disapproval: 63% (-3)
Undecided: 3%

[pbrower2a]

At this point, approval and favorability can't be far off from each other.

Colorado, Keating Research. 35-64 favorable.unfavorable.  The unfavorable figure was 55% in March.

Others: Senators Bennett (D) 57%, Gardner (R)
44% favorability.

California, Public Policy Institute
Nov 10-19 (Last poll Sept. 27)

All adults
Trump approval: 28% (+1)
Trump disapproval: 68% (-1)
Undecided: 5% (+1)

Likely voters
Trump approval: 34% (+3)
Trump disapproval: 63% (-3)
Undecided: 3%

P.S. -- I have been polled in Michigan. It is a favorability poll, but it is hard to distinguish the meaning between favorability and approval at this point.

Using "likely voters" for California,  


This approval map shows  electoral votes to the states on the approval map.

Trump approval, net positive

55% or higher
50-54%
44-49%

Ties are in white.

Trump approval, net negative

44-49%
40-45%
39% or lower

But raw disapproval numbers appear instead  of electoral votes here:

Disapproval (net negative for Trump) :

55% or higher
50-54%
44-49%

Ties are in white.

(net positive for Trump)
46-49%  
41-45%
40% or lower

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/30

Approve 34 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+3)

Big movement over the last 2 days, and the worst Trump's been in Gallup for a while.  Need a few more days to see if it's a real trend or just typical daily tracker fluctuation.

[pbrower2a]

Wait till we see how the tax giveaway bill goes, and whether people take the Flynn plea seriously.

[Person Man]

Gallup, 11/30

Approve 34 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+3)

Big movement over the last 2 days, and the worst Trump's been in Gallup for a while.  Need a few more days to see if it's a real trend or just typical daily tracker fluctuation.

Which is weird because Republicans has been improving across the board by about 2 or 3 points in my polls according to RCP but they are borderline fake news.
I think all the nazi stuff, the ICBM stuff, and now Mueller letting Flynn get away with treason with a slap on the wrist to spill the beans will take it's toll. Unless either people don't care anymore about anything, they distracted by the diddling, or that the tax bill is all the sudden "Wow! Free money!"

[pbrower2a]

Gallup, 11/30

Approve 34 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+3)

Big movement over the last 2 days, and the worst Trump's been in Gallup for a while.  Need a few more days to see if it's a real trend or just typical daily tracker fluctuation.

Which is weird because Republicans has been improving across the board by about 2 or 3 points in my polls according to RCP but they are borderline fake news.
I think all the nazi stuff, the ICBM stuff, and now Mueller letting Flynn get away with treason with a slap on the wrist to spill the beans will take it's toll. Unless either people don't care anymore about anything, they distracted by the diddling, or that the tax bill is all the sudden "Wow! Free money!"

The 'free money' is for elites only.

I can imagine welfare being replaced with debt bondage. The people who really rule America are cruel, ruthless, amoral people with no moral compass, and they intend to reward themselves and their progeny for their vices forever.

I have English, Irish, French, Swiss, German, Belgian, Dutch, Danish, and Norwegian ancestors among non-aristocratic lines. I would rather be any one of the above nationalities than an American today.  

[pbrower2a]

Welcome to Italy in the mid-1920s. Mussolini slowly squeezed democracy, and didn't stick the knife into Italy until the assassination of Mateotti, a Socialist deputy who accused Mussolini of vote fraud.

All that it will take is for the Republicans to regulate the Democratic Party into impotence.

Make America Great Again -- if you loved the 1920s you will love Trump's America.

[HillGoose]

I can imagine welfare being replaced with debt bondage. The people who really rule America are cruel, ruthless, amoral people with no moral compass, and they intend to reward themselves and their progeny for their vices forever.

dude you just described me!

I want to become a "vulture capitalist" because it's a good way to make money and I hate everyone else. If I get what I want, I don't care about anyone else getting their needs. The common man can die in poverty and rot in hell for the way they treated me when I was young.

[windjammer]

Gallup, 11/30

Approve 34 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+3)

Big movement over the last 2 days, and the worst Trump's been in Gallup for a while.  Need a few more days to see if it's a real trend or just typical daily tracker fluctuation.

What is Gallup's record btw?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/30

Approve 34 (-2)
Disapprove 60 (+3)

Big movement over the last 2 days, and the worst Trump's been in Gallup for a while.  Need a few more days to see if it's a real trend or just typical daily tracker fluctuation.

What is Gallup's record btw?

Trump's lowest Gallup approval so far is 33% on 10/29, and his highest disapproval is 62% on 10/29 & 10/30. 

A few other Presidents have recorded lower approvals.  Their record lows:

Truman 22% (Feb 1952)
Nixon 24% (Jul-Aug 1974)
GW Bush 25% (Oct 2008)
Carter 28% (June 1979)
GHW Bush 29% (July 1992)

[pbrower2a]

I can imagine welfare being replaced with debt bondage. The people who really rule America are cruel, ruthless, amoral people with no moral compass, and they intend to reward themselves and their progeny for their vices forever.

dude you just described me!

I want to become a "vulture capitalist" because it's a good way to make money and I hate everyone else. If I get what I want, I don't care about anyone else getting their needs. The common man can die in poverty and rot in hell for the way they treated me when I was young.

Madame Guillotine or her equivalent could put an end to that state of affairs.

[HillGoose]

I can imagine welfare being replaced with debt bondage. The people who really rule America are cruel, ruthless, amoral people with no moral compass, and they intend to reward themselves and their progeny for their vices forever.

dude you just described me!

I want to become a "vulture capitalist" because it's a good way to make money and I hate everyone else. If I get what I want, I don't care about anyone else getting their needs. The common man can die in poverty and rot in hell for the way they treated me when I was young.

Madame Guillotine or her equivalent could put an end to that state of affairs.

like the French Revolution?

[American2020]

I can imagine welfare being replaced with debt bondage. The people who really rule America are cruel, ruthless, amoral people with no moral compass, and they intend to reward themselves and their progeny for their vices forever.

dude you just described me!

I want to become a "vulture capitalist" because it's a good way to make money and I hate everyone else. If I get what I want, I don't care about anyone else getting their needs. The common man can die in poverty and rot in hell for the way they treated me when I was young.

Madame Guillotine or her equivalent could put an end to that state of affairs.

like the French Revolution?

I understand what you would want to put an end to that state of affairs. However there's a risk to be considered as a martyr by his supporters.
I prefer to send Donald in exile in a great palace with gardens somewhere in Russia. It could be a golden prison for him. Napoleon should be a great example to punish him and his staff.
I have a quote from Napoleon.

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[Rookie Yinzer]

Carter 28% (June 1979)
GHW Bush 29% (July 1992)

Trump is going to be a one term president. I don't care what happened in 2016.

[Virginiá]

Carter 28% (June 1979)
GHW Bush 29% (July 1992)

Trump is going to be a one term president. I don't care what happened in 2016.

I still don't get why people act like 2016 proved approval numbers don't matter. All it proved was that if you take one unpopular candidate and pit them against another unpopular candidate, one will win, and not necessarily the one that is only slightly less unpopular.

As far as I am concerned, if Trump is as unpopular as he is now (or even slightly less so), he's not going to win reelection. If he faces off against someone who is fairly popular and clean, ethics-wise, most people who strongly disapprove of him will not vote for him again and those who only somewhat disapprove will probably defect in smaller but not insignificant numbers as well.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Carter 28% (June 1979)
GHW Bush 29% (July 1992)

Trump is going to be a one term president. I don't care what happened in 2016.

I still don't get why people act like 2016 proved approval numbers don't matter. All it proved was that if you take one unpopular candidate and pit them against another unpopular candidate, one will win, and not necessarily the one that is only slightly less unpopular.

As far as I am concerned, if Trump is as unpopular as he is now (or even slightly less so), he's not going to win reelection. If he faces off against someone who is fairly popular and clean, ethics-wise, most people who strongly disapprove of him will not vote for him again and those who only somewhat disapprove will probably defect in smaller but not insignificant numbers as well.

Honestly.

Clinton was viewed as inevitable. Like three days before the election 70 percent of the American public thought she was going to be the next president. That gave potential Clinton voters permission to vote third party or stay home. Granted, she didn’t have a particularly inspiring campaign issue that would override this perceived inevitablity (this was her fault) and she didn’t have a base fired up ready to throw an incumbent out of power like Trump did. However, Trump is NOT going to have that luxury in 2020. His election was a perfect storm and occurred despite the absolutely terrible candidate he was. They can tout his shaky electoral win all day, but he was terrible. And he’s only gotten worse.