GE Wk 2: Who won the week?
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  GE Wk 2: Who won the week?
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Poll
Question: Who won the week?
#1
Clinton
 
#2
Trump
 
#3
Tied
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 134

Author Topic: GE Wk 2: Who won the week?  (Read 1758 times)
Devout Centrist
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« Reply #25 on: August 13, 2016, 01:27:23 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.
Gallup did an excellent job in 2012. Daily tracking polls are bae.

Lol - no, they didnt.
That's my point...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #26 on: August 13, 2016, 01:49:53 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.
Gallup did an excellent job in 2012. Daily tracking polls are bae.

Lol - no, they didnt.
That's my point...

Ah - then, as you were Smiley
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Seriously?
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« Reply #27 on: August 13, 2016, 01:58:32 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.

LOL.
The answer is Hillary, and you know it.

No. Numbers are numbers. Like I said, my hypothesis may ring true when the next set of apple-to-apple national polls are released next week.

You are right, "numbers are numbers."
And remember, you said that on Aug 12 (today) Hillary would only lead by 3 to 5 points.
Guess what .... you were wrong .... Clinton is leading by more.
I am actually not off by that much with that prediction.

RCP Average is at +6.3 (2-way), +6.4 (4-way).

My assessment of the fundamentals are correct, the margin is narrowing.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #28 on: August 13, 2016, 01:59:39 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.

LOL.
The answer is Hillary, and you know it.

No. Numbers are numbers. Like I said, my hypothesis may ring true when the next set of apple-to-apple national polls are released next week.

You are right, "numbers are numbers."
And remember, you said that on Aug 12 (today) Hillary would only lead by 3 to 5 points.
Guess what .... you were wrong .... Clinton is leading by more.
I am actually not off by that much with that prediction.

RCP Average is at +6.3 (2-way), +6.4 (4-way).

My assessment of the fundamentals are correct, the margin is narrowing.
RCP's average has only dropped because they subtracted an IBT poll from August 4th. Try again.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #29 on: August 13, 2016, 02:02:39 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.

LOL.
The answer is Hillary, and you know it.

No. Numbers are numbers. Like I said, my hypothesis may ring true when the next set of apple-to-apple national polls are released next week.

You are right, "numbers are numbers."
And remember, you said that on Aug 12 (today) Hillary would only lead by 3 to 5 points.
Guess what .... you were wrong .... Clinton is leading by more.
I am actually not off by that much with that prediction.

RCP Average is at +6.3 (2-way), +6.4 (4-way).

My assessment of the fundamentals are correct, the margin is narrowing.
RCP's average has only dropped because they subtracted an IBT poll from August 4th. Try again.
The trend is the trend. If you take the trackers in aggregate, it appears as if Trump's support is rebounding and Clinton is losing a marginal amount of support.

I do not expect the blowout that some on here think it will be. The electorate is polarized.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #30 on: August 13, 2016, 02:09:02 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.

LOL.
The answer is Hillary, and you know it.

No. Numbers are numbers. Like I said, my hypothesis may ring true when the next set of apple-to-apple national polls are released next week.

You are right, "numbers are numbers."
And remember, you said that on Aug 12 (today) Hillary would only lead by 3 to 5 points.
Guess what .... you were wrong .... Clinton is leading by more.
I am actually not off by that much with that prediction.

RCP Average is at +6.3 (2-way), +6.4 (4-way).

My assessment of the fundamentals are correct, the margin is narrowing.
RCP's average has only dropped because they subtracted an IBT poll from August 4th. Try again.
The trend is the trend. If you take the trackers in aggregate, it appears as if Trump's support is rebounding and Clinton is losing a marginal amount of support.

I do not expect the blowout that some on here think it will be. The electorate is polarized.

You're right, Trump won't lose by the soul crushing margin he deserves to.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #31 on: August 13, 2016, 02:10:48 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.

LOL.
The answer is Hillary, and you know it.

No. Numbers are numbers. Like I said, my hypothesis may ring true when the next set of apple-to-apple national polls are released next week.

You are right, "numbers are numbers."
And remember, you said that on Aug 12 (today) Hillary would only lead by 3 to 5 points.
Guess what .... you were wrong .... Clinton is leading by more.
I am actually not off by that much with that prediction.

RCP Average is at +6.3 (2-way), +6.4 (4-way).

My assessment of the fundamentals are correct, the margin is narrowing.
RCP's average has only dropped because they subtracted an IBT poll from August 4th. Try again.
The trend is the trend. If you take the trackers in aggregate, it appears as if Trump's support is rebounding and Clinton is losing a marginal amount of support.

I do not expect the blowout that some on here think it will be. The electorate is polarized.
A landslide can happen even in a polarized environment.

I hardly would call it a trend when other aggregates note no change at all. In fact, before RCP's change yesterday, Clinton led by 7.7 points. RCP didn't have a downward facing blue arrow for that reason.
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Dr. Arch
Arch
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« Reply #32 on: August 13, 2016, 02:55:43 AM »

Trump, the tracking polls uniformly show Hillary's convention bump beginning to fade.

LOL.
The answer is Hillary, and you know it.

No. Numbers are numbers. Like I said, my hypothesis may ring true when the next set of apple-to-apple national polls are released next week.

If you think his calling Obama "the founder of ISIS" and then backtracking it as a joke and his complete disregard for the constitution in even thinking about allowing citizens to go through the military court won't hurt him in the coming polls (and I daresay even more so permanently), you have another thing coming.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #33 on: August 13, 2016, 09:49:04 AM »

 Four swing state polls released on Fri show Hillary up 13, 12, 9 and 5. Yeah, she def lost the week.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #34 on: August 13, 2016, 09:55:37 AM »

Clinton had some news this week that an actual normal Republican nominee probably could've hit her with (Clinton foundation, economic plan ect.). Instead Trump decided to use "2nd amendment remedies", healthscare, Obama is the founder of ISIS *wink*, and bring in the most ridiculous and bogus chart I've ever seen.

Clinton is obviously winning this week.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #35 on: August 13, 2016, 02:42:34 PM »

Clinton has not done anything to win, but Trump has done lots to lose.
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