IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head

[Horus]

10/16

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 44% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Hawkins 1%

H2H:

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 43% (+1)

Remember that Biden was only +3 with these guys in their last release before they began the tracking poll. However, there has clearly been a trend towards Trump over the last day or two, made clear in the USC tracker and this one.

[Horus]

10/16

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 44% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Hawkins 1%

H2H:

Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 43% (+1)

Remember that Biden was only +3 with these guys in their last release before they began the tracking poll. However, there has clearly been a trend towards Trump over the last day or two, made clear in the USC tracker and this one.

There were literally three other national polls today with a Biden gaining (AP, KFF, and Navigator).

None as recent as the trackers. KFF isn't really that great, Navigator is a D pollster and AP poll was only of adults not RVs or LVs.

I'm not saying this is the margin but trackers are good at picking up daily shifts, and whether he's down 5 or 15, Trump's numbers have improved since Wednesday.

[Horus]

They do this every year. If the USC tracker also tightens and we get a couple major national polls confirming this, then I'll worry. IBD has been bouncy and Republican friendly since 2012.