Del Tachi
Republican95
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Posts: 17,960
Political Matrix E: 0.52, S: 1.46
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« on: November 06, 2020, 10:22:44 AM » |
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One pothole for Democrats going forward in GA is that their base is still (sub)urban Blacks in Fulton, DeKalb and Clayton. Decreased margins/turnout here can put the GOP back on top.
In a future where the trends of 2020 accelerate, it's not unreasonable to think that SWATS or Clayton County go from 90-10 Dem to something more like 80-20 Dem, which could make a difference.
There's also still room for Dems to fall further in North GA, since Biden's #s there represent a marginal improvement over Clinton. In 2024, I could see Harris falling behind even Clinton somewhere like Floyd County (Rome), while GOP nominee Ron DeSantis or Josh Hawley improves on Trump's numbers in Cobb/Gwinnett/Fulton.
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