IN: Trafalgar Group: Donnelly +12

[Skye]

Wow, Trafalgar has Donelly up by that much? Sound the alarm!

[Skye]

It says they polled 1420 people but those crosstabs look like they polled just 50 lol.

[Skye]

I can believe that Donnelly is up by 12, Blue Wave, elasticity, and tariffs and all. But these crosstabs, disgusting.


Garbage, but does point to the race being close, with Donelly being the one ahead.

The problem with this poll is not the crosstabs, its the absurd lead. Sure, you can chalk it all up to bad methodolgy, but this lead is rather insane, and even a methodolgy fix would be unlikely to give Braun the lead.

WHICH IS IT ZAYBAY

[Skye]

The downfall of Trafalgar has been pretty funny. I remember everyone here thought they were the "gold standard" in 2017, lol.

I mostly say it in a tongue-in-cheek manner. Though they have gotten some crazy goo results as well. Remember how they almost exactly predicted the margin of the SC GOP Runoff? That was scary.