Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J. (user search)
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  Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J.  (Read 77319 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: November 15, 2018, 03:29:41 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2018, 03:34:40 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: November 15, 2018, 06:49:41 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: November 15, 2018, 08:51:16 PM »

I realize it's not going to flip, but how close is CA-50 likely to end up?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2018, 08:30:05 AM »

I definitely had a dream last night that Cox (and Harder) were winning by either high single digits or double digits.

Personal subconscious anecdotes aside, is a Bordeaux win more likely then not now?

Woodall is still the likely winner, but it's not a sure thing yet.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2018, 02:46:57 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: November 16, 2018, 06:23:35 PM »

Wow, Bordeaux apparently won a precinct in Forsyth County. That is Forsyth County, Georgia (GA-07).





That's impressive, although not quite as impressive as it looks at first glance.  That part of Forsyth County is becoming more diverse and is much more so than the county as a whole is.  (I happen to live in Forsyth County.)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: November 16, 2018, 07:37:33 PM »

I know two people from Forsyth County, and they were absolute delights. I've never understood how the county has such a backwards history.

Yep, my opinion of Forsyth County has gone up knowing that Georgia Moderate lives there. That means there must be something not all bad there. Cheesy

Aww, thanks. Wink  I certainly won't defend Forsyth's past, but after over a decade here I'll say that it's been the most pleasant of the Metro Atlanta counties I've lived in (5 total).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8 on: November 17, 2018, 09:08:48 AM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: November 17, 2018, 04:16:16 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: November 18, 2018, 06:38:37 PM »

What I wonder is why CNN still hasn't called NM-2.

Herrell is trying to challenge the Doña Ana County absentee ballots: https://www.abqjournal.com/1246305/herrell-seeks-to-have-absentee-ballots-impounded.html.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2018, 07:22:06 PM »

How much is still out in CA-21?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #12 on: November 19, 2018, 07:35:21 PM »

More details...

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #13 on: November 20, 2018, 10:06:03 AM »

The education gap:

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: November 20, 2018, 08:31:37 PM »


According to https://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/local-election/article221926680.html, Kern won't have another update until Monday.  No idea about the other counties.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #15 on: November 21, 2018, 07:46:28 AM »

The GA-07 recount will begin at 10am EST today.  Woodall leads by 419 votes (0.14%).

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #16 on: November 21, 2018, 01:57:42 PM »
« Edited: November 21, 2018, 02:01:44 PM by GeorgiaModerate »


2016 is pushing #FakeNews.  Edit: he made a typo initially and has corrected it.

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: November 21, 2018, 04:12:11 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #18 on: November 21, 2018, 05:51:06 PM »

Bourdeaux has conceded in GA-07 following the recount.  The final margin was 433.  Woodall gained 9 votes in Gwinnett and 4 in Forsyth, while Bourdeaux gained 1 in Gwinnett and lost 2 in Forsyth.

https://www.ajc.com/news/local-govt--politics/bourdeaux-camp-questions-transparency-today-7th-district-recount/Mg3uQweo3l4N6T9QCGRIyJ/
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #19 on: November 21, 2018, 07:15:18 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #20 on: November 21, 2018, 08:54:57 PM »

The 2018 election was truly an Attack on Titan. So many titans slayed.

Yeah, definitely not a good night for Unbeatable Titans.

Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller
Unbeatable Titan Adam Laxalt
Unbeatable Titan Carlos Curbelo
Unbeatable Titan David Valadao
Unbeatable Titan Dino Rossi
Unbeatable Titan Young Kim

All slain. The only remaining Unbeatable Titans are Unbeatable Titan Will Hurd and Unbeatable Titan Jon Tester, both of whom only narrowly survived.

Based on past results, Rossi was not eligible for Unbeatable status. Wink
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #21 on: November 22, 2018, 08:20:36 AM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #22 on: November 22, 2018, 08:23:42 AM »

DDHQ retracts Election Night call of CA-21.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #23 on: November 26, 2018, 12:30:12 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #24 on: November 26, 2018, 01:35:17 PM »

House
CNN: 233-201 (1 Undecided/NM-2)
NYTimes: 233-200 (2 Undecided/NY-22 & NY-27)
ABC: 234-201
CBS: 234-201
TheGreenPapers: 234-201

All of them should be R-1 because of CA-21.

I got a gut feel that Valadao might pull this out.

We'll probably know by tonight but Nate Cohn, Nate Silver and Harry Enten all seem to think Cox is favored.

Nate, Nate, and Harry vs. 2016.  I know which side I'd bet on.
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