2016 General Election Voter Turnout
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  2016 General Election Voter Turnout
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Poll
Question: Predict the turnout
#1
<50%
 
#2
51%-53%
 
#3
53%-55%
 
#4
55%-57%
 
#5
57%-59%
 
#6
Greater than 60%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: 2016 General Election Voter Turnout  (Read 537 times)
Progressive
jro660
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« on: October 16, 2016, 11:58:20 AM »

I've heard some people suggest that it may be greatest turnout in recent history, and others, who suggest that because of the lack of popularity and "inevitability factor," turnout might be the lowest. I think it will be high.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2016, 12:00:49 PM »

For comparison:

2012: 57.5
2008: 62.3
2004: 60.4
2000: 54.2

Source: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/11/08/report-shows-turnout-lower-than-2008-and-2004/
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2016, 12:03:04 PM »

53-54.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2016, 12:27:33 PM »


This result, I assume, would be bad for Clinton?
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Senator Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2016, 12:35:53 PM »

51-53
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2016, 12:36:30 PM »


Who knows
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2016, 12:36:59 PM »

63%
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2016, 12:41:28 PM »

I've been thinking 65% because both sides seem so angry and ready to "fight," but it may be wishful thinking.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2016, 12:42:13 PM »

I've been thinking 65% because both sides seem so angry and ready to "fight," but it may be wishful thinking.

I think most Americans are rolling their eyes at both campaigns right now.  Turnout is going to drop.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2016, 12:44:20 PM »

I'd guess about the same as 2012. Black turnout should go down, but Hispanic turnout should go up (hopefully waaay up). Not sure about white turnout, perhaps slightly up.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2016, 12:44:37 PM »

I've been thinking 65% because both sides seem so angry and ready to "fight," but it may be wishful thinking.

I think most Americans are rolling their eyes at both campaigns right now.  Turnout is going to drop.

I couldn't decide whether this, or people highly motivated to vote against a candidate, would be a bigger factor.  So I split the difference (I'm sure this surprises nobody) and voted 57-59.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2016, 12:50:49 PM »

Turnout will be high because of all the early voting that's going on,  it's becoming easier than ever to vote.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #12 on: October 16, 2016, 12:51:23 PM »

It's going to be high, with the possibility of very high.
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OneJ
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« Reply #13 on: October 16, 2016, 01:40:45 PM »

Factors to Consider:
-Two unpopular candidates (Whites hate Hillary; We Minorities hate Trump/Whites dislike Trump)
-Early Voting (High in states like North Carolina and Georgia)
-Voter Registration (Especially among Latinos; Among this group the following states have seen huge spikes: CA, CO, FL, GA, AZ, etc.)
-Fear is a motivation factor just like enthusiasm
-You don't have to have enthusiastic supporters to win (See what happened during the Democratic Primaries with crowd sizes, etc.)

My Prediction: 60-70% (Hell, I kind of hope it's higher than 70% in favor of Hillary due to higher minority turnout)
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2016, 01:48:07 PM »

I'm going with just a hair below 2008 turnout at 62%.
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hopper
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« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2016, 06:37:41 PM »

55%.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
matthew27
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« Reply #16 on: October 16, 2016, 06:41:50 PM »

61%

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