Estonian general election: March 5, 2023

[Battista Minola 1616]

So I guess this is the new thread...

I wanted to mention that there's now a new party called Parempoolsed (meaning "right-wingers") caused by a split within Isamaa, with one member of the Riigikogu. However it's literally polling below the perpetually hopeless Estonian Greens, so we can safely assume it will be a non-factor. EKRE is also probably past its peak and has declined in the polls since.

[Battista Minola 1616]

EKRE really underperformed, especially compared to its polling highs less than half a year ago. Not that I am complaining.

[Battista Minola 1616]

Is Kallas going to try to form a government with just Reform and E200? That would be the barest possible majority (51-50) but if party discipline is strong maybe it's worth a try.

I think a government with SDE is much more likely especially because from what I've heard such a bare majority would mean the opposition controls some of the parliamentary committees.