Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Sir Mohamed]

Here I'll post 60% approvals again, to paraphrase OC.

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1401607578434605062

[pbrower2a]

It is impossible to "redistrict" someone out of responsibility for backing overt crime such as the Capitol Putsch. There could be some otherwise-unlikely D gains that offset any possible redistricting. Republicans still heavily support Donald Trump, enough to ensure that his acolytes win nominations, but that will not be enough in the general election in anything close to even races.

Here I'll post 60% approvals again, to paraphrase OC.

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1401607578434605062

Too good to be true, at least until I see corroboration.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a RV poll not a LV poll, we must be weary because they still won't give up OH, IA, NC or FL SEN polls but I was emailed Alan Grayson was 5 pts behind Rubio and Ryan and Jackson are blue dogs and IA have 2 female office holders already and Fink can be the 3rd, I can see us losing NH if Sununu runs and picking up IA, but until they start showing us OH, IA, NC and FL polls, it's still a 303 map but Baker will lose because he has been in office too long already and only 3 pts ahead of Maura Healey, Healey or Downing will beat him, Muhammad said Baker is gonna win, no he wont

OH, IA, NC and FL, remember will secure the H, which we are an underdog in, because HR 1 won't pass but Senate we can win without the H


As of now we are underdogs in H, Favs in S 3o3 map and Favs to win 278 Gov map but that can change in 500 days, we will know if Newsom survives recall, he is tied at 45 not 20 pts ahead because he gave Stimulus money not to everyone but only to those with EITC Steyer would have given it to everyone, we all pay sales taxes

[Matty]

Biden underwater in New Hampshire

Among New Hampshire voters, 52% now say they have an unfavorable opinion of President Biden, with 47% saying they have a favorable opinion.

https://jbartlett.org/2021/06/n-h-voters-lost-trust-in-media-helping-drive-biden-favorability-below-50/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Maggie Hassan is gonna win, as soon as Molly Kelly or some other D announces to run for Gov, that will help Hassan, Shaheen was in similar situations in 2008 against John Sununu and Scott Brown and 2014 was an R plus 5 Environment.Hassan helped Shaheen to pull out a narrow Victory over Brown in 2014, too

Hassan isn't out of it but clearly pbower2A Approvalls map is too rosey and Biden is at 51/49 Approvals not 60 since it's a RV not LV sample and Biden was at 59 percent after SOTU, since he got a bump, NC is R Leaning not D fav and so is Iowa

But, WARNOCK may or may not win a Runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Chickens are coming home to roost, some weeks you can see Biden 60 percent Approvals due to vaccines and then some weeks you can can doldrums and 49 percent Approvals due to not passing Legislation, this is due to soccer mom's being undecided about the Biden Administration and whether they want their taxes raised, they are the swing group

That's why, 2020, we saw a 415 EC map and we only had a 303 map, soccer mom's were undecided about Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah it looks after Manchin blocking HR 1 Rs can Redistricted FL and TX any way they want and Crist isn't beating DeSantis he is down by 10

As D's will replicate the 303 blue wall in Sen as they barely fight to hold onto NH, AZ, NV and GA and win WI and PA and can win it back when Covid Eradicated in 2024/26

278 EC Govs

[Devils30]

Yeah it looks after Manchin blocking HR 1 Rs can Redistricted FL and TX any way they want and Crist isn't beating DeSantis he is down by 10

As D's will replicate the 303 blue wall in Sen as they barely fight to hold onto NH, AZ, NV and GA and win WI and PA and can win it back when Covid Eradicated in 2024/26

278 EC Govs

Rs can redistrict TX but a lot of what they need to do involves holding their own seats, not grabbing more than the 2 new ones. If they tried a 29-9 map they could lose 12 seats in a bad GOP President midterm and maybe even 4-6 without a GOP President.

[President Johnson]

Biden underwater in New Hampshire

Among New Hampshire voters, 52% now say they have an unfavorable opinion of President Biden, with 47% saying they have a favorable opinion.

https://jbartlett.org/2021/06/n-h-voters-lost-trust-in-media-helping-drive-biden-favorability-below-50/

I hardly believe he lost that much ground in a state won by seven. This would make sense if his national approval ratings were in low or mid 40s at best.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden underwater in New Hampshire

Among New Hampshire voters, 52% now say they have an unfavorable opinion of President Biden, with 47% saying they have a favorable opinion.

https://jbartlett.org/2021/06/n-h-voters-lost-trust-in-media-helping-drive-biden-favorability-below-50/

I hardly believe he lost that much ground in a state won by seven. This would make sense if his national approval ratings were in low or mid 40s at best.

You know Biden is at 51/49 Approvals and he got a bump after the SOTU which pushed his Approvals up more, now that they aren't passing bills, he is stuck at mediocre Approvals

But as I said before on a Neutral Environment D's net WI and PA Senate and GA goes to a Runoff

Mccarthy 0/15 seats and we lose KS Gov and net NH and MA, MD Govs Baker is only 3 ahead of Healy, Downing can beat him

Rashurn Baker will become Afro American of MD and Molly Kelly is thinking about running for NH Gov to help push Hassan and Pappas over finished line, and Downing defeats Baker in MA

304 blue wall encompass ME 2 and NEB 2, Angus King wins ME 2 back for D's he is up on 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Covid is Eradicated in 2024 obviously, Brown and Tester will win and we pickup FL SEN Graham v Scott and Manchin retires and pickup the House back

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden underwater in New Hampshire

Among New Hampshire voters, 52% now say they have an unfavorable opinion of President Biden, with 47% saying they have a favorable opinion.

https://jbartlett.org/2021/06/n-h-voters-lost-trust-in-media-helping-drive-biden-favorability-below-50/

I hardly believe he lost that much ground in a state won by seven. This would make sense if his national approval ratings were in low or mid 40s at best.

But remember, for as inaccurate as polls are, they are only always accurate when they back up a Republican narrative apparently.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The NPVI is gonna be close to 52/48 which is exactly a 52/48 Senate map, I don't know about the H but we will keep the Senate with that math

Which is exactly the Approvals of Joe Biden right now, which is not RV 60%

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

It is impossible to "redistrict" someone out of responsibility for backing overt crime such as the Capitol Putsch. There could be some otherwise-unlikely D gains that offset any possible redistricting. Republicans still heavily support Donald Trump, enough to ensure that his acolytes win nominations, but that will not be enough in the general election in anything close to even races.

Here I'll post 60% approvals again, to paraphrase OC.

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1401607578434605062

Too good to be true, at least until I see corroboration.  

It seems that for every poll that has Biden +20 you have another poll having him +7. It's best to look at the averages and Biden is probably at +13.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is at 51/49% it's a RV poll not LV poll the Same RV poll that had Biden up 14 pts in QU and 17 pts up in WI in 2020

Read the fine print RV not LV

The NPVI is gonna be 52/48% right where Biden Approvals are currently

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/chris_notcapn/status/1402037642049593356

[Sir Mohamed]

I want to know who the 1% are that never heard of Biden?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am happy that in RV not LV Biden is at 60%Approvals, but we shouldn't dwell on them it's a 304 map because without HR 1 passing, just like Rs are locked out of the blue wall states, D's are locked out the Red wall states due to fact the South especially in Midterms 1994/2010/2014 have consistently voted R with the exception of GA and WARNOCK.

Most of the seats lost in 1994 were in the South due to Brady Bill and Gun control and D's don't need the South to win the EC as we all know WI, MI, and PA determines the Prez

[pppolitics]

I want to know who the 1% are that never heard of Biden?

...probably just woke up from a coma

[GeorgiaModerate]

I want to know who the 1% are that never heard of Biden?

...probably just woke up from a coma

From an old joke:

Q: "Have you ever heard of Lincoln?"

A: "I'm not sure. Is his last name Nebraska?"

[Progressive Pessimist]

I want to know who the 1% are that never heard of Biden?

...probably just woke up from a coma

I envy them. I wish I could have been in a coma for the past four years. Actually, keep me in that coma, things still aren't all that worth experiencing...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The D's are concentrating on AZ, NV, WI, PA, NH, and GA for 52(48 Senate to neutralize Manchin

Since HR 1 isn't passing they are not putting that much importance on NC, OH, IA and FL but are concentrating on House races in red wall

So a landslide isn't happening

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, June 6-8, 1500 adults including 1242 RV

Adults:

Approve 50 (nc)
Disapprove 40 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 29 (nc)

RV:

Approve 51 (+1)
Disapprove 43 (nc)

Strongly approve 29 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 33 (nc)

[Horus]

President Biden's approval is shaping up to be even more stable than Trump's (dis)approval.

[pbrower2a]

Likely voters, registered voters, or adults? I'll go with registered voters ib the assumption that aside from demographic change, the electorate of 2024 will be much more like that of 2020 than of 2016 or 2012. People registered to vote can vote; "adults" include people who never register to vote and do not vote. Likely voters? Who knows what a "likely voter" will be in 2024?