OH-Bloomberg: Trump +5/+5

[Devout Centrist]

Problem for Trump is that even after he wins over NC IA OH and then perhaps FL, the next rung of states will be NV and NH which I will see as being very hard for him to flip unless there is another surge of support on top of the existing surge he is experiencing.  This will leave him short.

TRUMP's paths (if he wins Romney(206) + IA(6) + OH(18) + FL(29) = 259
Then he needs 11 more

1. NV(6) + CO(9) = 15
2. PA(20) = 20
3. WI(10) + ME-2(1) = 11
4. MI(16) = 16
5. NV(6) + NM(5) =11
6. CO(9) + ME-2,ME(Statewide) =12

TRUMP has some chances in NM/CO as latest polls.
let me show you my cherry-picking polls

1) PA
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/pennsylvania/#plus
Aug. 31-Sep. 6  Google Consumer Surveys  808 LV  TRUMP 35% | Hillary 33% | Johnson 11%

2) NV
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/#plus
Sep. 6-8    Marist College  627 LV     TRUMP 42% | Hillary 41% | Johnson 8%

3) CO
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus
Aug. 26-Sep. 8   Ipsos   417 LV            TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
Aug. 9-Sep. 1    SurveyMonkey    2,428 RV    Hillary 37% | TRUMP 37% | Johnson 16%

4) ME-2
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/maine-2/#plus
Sep. 4-10 SurveyUSA   397 LV             TRUMP 47% | Hillary 37% | Johnson 8%
Sep. 2-5    Emerson College 400 LV    TRUMP 41% | Hillary 36% | Johnson 14%

5) WI
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#plus
Aug. 26-Sep. 8   Ipsos  523 LV            TRUMP 40% | Hillary 38%
Aug. 9-Sep. 1    SurveyMonkey    2,687 RV    Hillary 39% | TRUMP 37% | Johnson 13%

6) MI
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/#plus
Aug. 26-Sep. 8   Ipsos  613 LV               Hillary 43% | TRUMP 41% |
Aug. 26-Sep. 8   Ipsos  494 LV               Hillary 42% | TRUMP 42% |

7) NM
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus
Aug. 26-Sep. 8   Ipsos  106 LV            TRUMP 48% | Hillary 38%
Aug. 31-Sep. 6  Google Consumer Surveys  215 LV  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%


ME(Statewide)
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/maine/#plus
Sep. 4-10 SurveyUSA   779 LV             Hillary 42% | TRUMP 39% | Johnson 9%

Your word salad never gets any less amusing.