GA-PPP: Warnock +2 over Walker, +3 over Loeffler, +8 over Black (user search)
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  GA-PPP: Warnock +2 over Walker, +3 over Loeffler, +8 over Black (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-PPP: Warnock +2 over Walker, +3 over Loeffler, +8 over Black  (Read 2360 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« on: August 06, 2021, 08:03:19 AM »
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/GeorgiaResults.pdf

General Election
Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 48%
Herschel Walker (R) 46%

Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 47%
Kelly Loeffler (R) 44%

Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 46%
Gary Black (R) 38%

Favorabilities
Herschel Walker - 41/28
Kelly Loeffler - 28/47
Gary Black - 15/15

Warnock job approval - 43/42

Survey of 622 voters, August 4-5, 2021
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Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2021, 11:29:24 AM »
« Edited: August 06, 2021, 11:37:58 AM by gracile »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on August 06, 2021, 10:18:44 AM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on August 06, 2021, 09:16:30 AM
Pure tossup -> Pure tossup.

PPP is a bit D-friendly. Since it's early, the polls hardly matter much if anything.
"Bit D friendly" is putting it midly.. double digit misses is common for PPP.

This is true in several other states they have polled, but PPP was pretty much on the money in GA throughout 2020:

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/GeorgiaOctober2020Poll.pdf
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/GeorgiaResults.pdf
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6945877-GeorgiaResults1-1.html
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=380120.0

I generally don't put much stock in polls nowadays FWIW, but it seems unwise to dismiss polls from one of the few states where pollsters across the board basically nailed the final result (as well as applying PPP's poll results from entirely different electorates to this electorate).
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