Which 2024 GOP nominee would overperform in (BUT NOT WIN) Hawaii, Vermont, or Washington DC

[Literally Just a Contrarian]

DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).

Hogan would over perform in Maryland and states with high levels of white college educated populations.

Trump would overperform in NY and Hawaii compared to other R’s again.



I don’t know about the others.

[Literally Just a Contrarian]

DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).


I don’t know about the others.

Thank you for your response. I am really interested to know why you think DeSantis, specifically, would overperform in Hawaii and California but not Vermont or Washington.

I can see DeSantis doing well with Hawaiian Natives and Asians (for Hawaii) and fairly well with Hispanics (for CA).

But I don’t really see him improving massively over Trump with the types of college educated progressive whites in Washington or Vermont. The best he does is not angering them to turnout against him as much as Trump did.

Also, I forgot that Washington has a lot of Hispanics and Asians, so I may reconsider that response.