DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).
I don’t know about the others.
Thank you for your response. I am really interested to know why you think DeSantis, specifically, would overperform in Hawaii and California but not Vermont or Washington.
I can see DeSantis doing well with Hawaiian Natives and Asians (for Hawaii) and fairly well with Hispanics (for CA).
But I don’t really see him improving massively over Trump with the types of college educated progressive whites in Washington or Vermont. The best he does is not angering them to turnout against him as much as Trump did.
Also, I forgot that Washington has a lot of Hispanics and Asians, so I may reconsider that response.
Washington
state (WA) voted more or less how I expected in 2020. WA didn't surprise me like CA, NV, NJ, NY, VA, TX, HI, etc. The heavily Latino and/or Asian parts of King County swung similarly to their Metro Portland counterparts.
I don't think there is a single GOP candidate who would overperform in all of HI, VT, and DC. I'm not even sure what appeal DeSantis would have with Native Hawaiians or Asians, outside of his environmental record and not having an #elitist Religious Right/neocon vibe.
Poll
