I don't understand bringing up approval ratings this earlier when Reagan had low approval ratings the year before reelection.
Anyone know the approval ratings of
George H.W. Bush
Bill Clinton
George W Bush
At this time before their reelection?
Gallup:
Reagan 47%
GHW Bush 64%
Clinton 48%
GW Bush 55%
Reagan and Clinton were coming off their lows, which were just after the midterms IIRC. They would both hit 50% the following month - Reagan in response to Grenada, Clinton in reaction to the gov't shutdown. Bush 41 was coming down from 91% after the Gulf War, and would start his downward spiral around late Oct./early Nov. as the bad economy came into focus more. Bush 43 was declining on bad Iraq news, and would stabilize in the mid to high forties around the time of the Dem. primaries.