Hawaii

[minionofmidas]

Um.

1960, no incumbent but Rep vice president running for president
Hawaii 0.0 Dem, Nation 0.1 Dem (0.1 more Rep)
1964, Dem incumbent
Hawaii 57.6 Dem, Nation 22.6 Dem (35.0 more Dem)
1968, no incumbent but Dem vice president running for president
Hawaii 21.1 Dem, Nation 0.7 Rep (21.8 more Dem)
1972, Rep incumbent
Hawaii 25.0 Rep, Nation 23.2 Rep (1.8 more Rep)
1976, Rep incumbent
Hawaii 2.5 Dem, Nation 2.1 Dem (0.4 more Dem)
1980, Dem incumbent
Hawaii 1.9 Dem, Nation 9.7 Rep (11.6 more Dem)
1984, Rep incumbent
Hawaii 11.3 Rep, Nation 18.2 Rep (6.9 more Dem)
1988, no incumbent but Rep vice president running for president
Hawaii 9.5 Dem, Nation 7.8 Rep (17.3 more Dem)
1992, Rep incumbent
Hawaii 11.4 Dem, Nation 5.6 Dem (5.8 more Dem)
1996, Dem incumbent
Hawaii 25.3 Dem, Nation 8.5 Dem (16.8 more Dem)
2000, no incumbent but Dem vice president running for president
Hawaii 18.3 Dem, Nation 0.5 Dem (17.8 more Dem)
2004, Rep incumbent
Hawaii 8.7 Dem, Nation 2.4 Rep (11.1 more Dem)

1964d 35.0
1968d 21.8
2000d 17.8
1996d 16.8
1988r 17.3
1980d 11.6
2004r 11.1
1984r 6.9
1992r 5.8
1976r 0.4
1960r -0.1
1972r -1.8

1988 is the only election where no pro-incumbent bonus is apparent.

[minionofmidas]

Not sure, but military traditions might play a role in that.

[minionofmidas]

Not sure, but military traditions might play a role in that.

are pacific islanders living elsewhere in the us also pro-incumbent?

Who says it's pacific islanders doing all the swinging? In 2004, the most Republican areas in Hawaii are around Ewa, Mililani Town etc. Unfortunately, I don't know about swing.

[minionofmidas]

It's not quite the same, but obviously it does convey some bonus of incumbency. Anyways, exclude the VP runs, and you get:
1964d 35.0
1996d 16.8
1980d 11.6
2004r 11.1
1984r 6.9
1992r 5.8
1976r 0.4
1972r -1.8

[minionofmidas]

Well, it is right about the swing.  Still, calling Hawaii pro-incumbent makes it sound like it voted for the incumbent all those times.  Still a democratic state. (Come to think of it, since Vermont is the only state to not increase it's vote total for Bush in 2004, aren't 49 of the states pro-incumbent in this instance?)

No, since we were comparing to national average as well.

[minionofmidas]

Here's election results by State House district. Any errors be mine (I compiled these from precinct results). Descriptions may be vague.

Hawaii County
1 66.9 - 32.1 North coast
2 61.6 - 37.5 Hilo north
3 60.9 - 38.5 Hilo south
4 65.0 - 34.0 around Cape Kumukahi
5 65.3 - 33.6 Southern 40% of island
6 51.4 - 47.6 Kailua-Kona
7 55.9 - 43.3 East coast north from Kailua-Kona

Maui County
8 60.8 - 38.2 Wailuku area west
9 62.5 - 36.8 Wailuku area east
10 56.5 - 42.7 west half of island, remainder
11 55.4 - 43.7 east half of island, west coast
12 61.4 - 37.8 east half of island, inland
13 66.7 - 32.0 east half of island, n and e coasts; Molokai, Lanai

Kauai County
14 62.4 - 36.6 North
15 60.4 - 38.8 Southeast
16 56.9 - 42.3 Southwest; Niihau

Honolulu County
17 49.8 - 49.8 Koko Head (three votes' margin)
18 51.3 - 48.2 Wailupe, Maunalua Bay
19 53.0 - 46.4 Waialae, Kahala
20 60.4 - 38.8 Saint Louis Heights (20 to 29 appears to be, roughly speaking, Honolulu)
21 60.1 - 39.1 Diamond Head
22 59.2 - 40.1 north of Kapiolani Boulevard
23 54.9 - 44.3 Waikiki
24 62.0 - 37.4 University area
25 57.9 - 41.4 Noho Ave, North Central Honolulu?
26 57.1 - 42.2 Punchbowl
27 54.7 - 44.7 North of Harbor area
28 53.1 - 45.8 Harbor area
29 45.6 - 53.6 Dillingham Boulevard
30 51.2 - 48.3 Likelike Highway
31 50.8 - 48.7 Salt Lake
32 45.3 - 54.2 Airport, Ford Island
33 51.3 - 48.3 Aiea
34 53.6 - 45.8 Pearl City, Royal Summit
35 48.5 - 51.0 Waipahu, Crestview
36 54.2 -45.4 Pacific Palisades
37 48.7 - 50.8 Mililani Town South
38 46.6 - 53. Mililani Town North
39 49.0 - 50.2 Wahiawa, Whitmore Village
40 40.9 - 58.5 Ewa west, Makakilo
41 45.3 - 54.2 area between Mililani Town and Pearl Harbor
42 45.6 - 53.7 Ewa
43 40.8 - 58.8 Ewa Beach
44 44.0 - 55.4 Nanakuli, Maili
45 46.9 - 52.0 Waianawe
46 46.6 - 52.8 north coast
47 45.8 - 53.3 northeast coast
48 53.7- 45.8 Kaneohe west
49 50.1 - 49.4 Kaneohe east
50 48.8 - 50.6 Kailua
51 51.9 - 47.2 Lanikai, Waimanolo

[minionofmidas]

Hawaii has a very high cost of living, and most people have to work hard to earn a living. My relatives in Hawaii are Asian-Americans, and traditionally Democrat. My grandparents live in a small 1 story house where the rooms merge together.

Somebody explain this phrase, please. Sorry.