Political futures of Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens?
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  Political futures of Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens?
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Author Topic: Political futures of Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens?  (Read 508 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: July 19, 2021, 03:29:10 PM »

What are the political futures of Michigan congresswoman Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens?
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Not Me, Us
KhanOfKhans
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« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2021, 03:47:06 PM »

Entirely dependent on 2022. Slotkin is in a Trump district, so I'd say she's certainly an underdog for reelection. Stevens's race is tilt D for 2022 and is probably the frontrunner to replace Stabenow in 2024, assuming she wins in '22.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2021, 06:28:22 PM »

Slotkin will probably lose re-election while Stevens hangs on. I don't see much else for their political futures after that.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2021, 06:54:29 PM »

Obviously statewide election or the senate.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2021, 06:59:21 PM »

Also Joe Biden nearly won Slotkin's district, coming in under just a point, versus Clinton's near 7 point loss. It's been a blue-ing area as well, especially the Lansing burbs. Slotkin will have a tough re-election but she's certainly not the most vulnerable.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #5 on: July 19, 2021, 08:53:45 PM »

I actually think Slotkin is more likely than Stevens to advance to statewide office. On the whole, she seems more competent and more politically sharp than Stevens is, and has garnered more attention. This is despite the fact that Slotkin is in a more competitive district than Stevens, a narrow Trump district (MI-08), while Stevens is in a Biden district (MI-11). I wouldn't be surprised if Slotkin were to be Debbie Stabenow's successor.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #6 on: July 19, 2021, 10:19:24 PM »

Entirely dependent on 2022. Slotkin is in a Trump district, so I'd say she's certainly an underdog for reelection. Stevens's race is tilt D for 2022 and is probably the frontrunner to replace Stabenow in 2024, assuming she wins in '22.
Not necessarily. Slotkin's district may become bluer in the redistricting cycle, though that's not necessary as it has an Indpendent Redistricting Commission that's strictly nonpartisan. And as Cookie Damage (D-NJ) already pointed out, Slotkin's district, while still voting red, shifted visibly leftward from 2016.
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morgieb
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« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2021, 11:02:40 PM »

Depends on the boundaries.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2021, 05:01:51 PM »

In the current districts, slotkin’s a goner. Stevens, has a 50/50 chance of holding on I think
I can see Slotkin as a future DNI or something intelligence-government related
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2021, 06:22:17 AM »

All depends on redistricting. One of them probably ends up in something close to a safe Dem district.
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