Political futures of Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens?

[Tekken_Guy]

What are the political futures of Michigan congresswoman Elissa Slotkin and Haley Stevens?

[Not Me, Us]

Entirely dependent on 2022. Slotkin is in a Trump district, so I'd say she's certainly an underdog for reelection. Stevens's race is tilt D for 2022 and is probably the frontrunner to replace Stabenow in 2024, assuming she wins in '22.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Slotkin will probably lose re-election while Stevens hangs on. I don't see much else for their political futures after that.

[CookieDamage]

Obviously statewide election or the senate.

[CookieDamage]

Also Joe Biden nearly won Slotkin's district, coming in under just a point, versus Clinton's near 7 point loss. It's been a blue-ing area as well, especially the Lansing burbs. Slotkin will have a tough re-election but she's certainly not the most vulnerable.

[Calthrina950]

I actually think Slotkin is more likely than Stevens to advance to statewide office. On the whole, she seems more competent and more politically sharp than Stevens is, and has garnered more attention. This is despite the fact that Slotkin is in a more competitive district than Stevens, a narrow Trump district (MI-08), while Stevens is in a Biden district (MI-11). I wouldn't be surprised if Slotkin were to be Debbie Stabenow's successor.

[CentristRepublican]

Entirely dependent on 2022. Slotkin is in a Trump district, so I'd say she's certainly an underdog for reelection. Stevens's race is tilt D for 2022 and is probably the frontrunner to replace Stabenow in 2024, assuming she wins in '22.

Not necessarily. Slotkin's district may become bluer in the redistricting cycle, though that's not necessary as it has an Indpendent Redistricting Commission that's strictly nonpartisan. And as Cookie Damage (D-NJ) already pointed out, Slotkin's district, while still voting red, shifted visibly leftward from 2016.

[morgieb]

Depends on the boundaries.

[UNL]

In the current districts, slotkin’s a goner. Stevens, has a 50/50 chance of holding on I think
I can see Slotkin as a future DNI or something intelligence-government related

[Mr.Phips]

All depends on redistricting. One of them probably ends up in something close to a safe Dem district.

[MargieCat]

Interesting how some thought Slotkin was DOA before 2022. Winning that narrow Trump district gave us a pretty formidable statewide contender.

I still wonder what Haley Stevens's political future holds.

Perhaps she can succeed Gary Peters if he doesn't run in 2026.

[Spectator]

Interesting how some thought Slotkin was DOA before 2022. Winning that narrow Trump district gave us a pretty formidable statewide contender.

I still wonder what Haley Stevens's political future holds.

Perhaps she can succeed Gary Peters if he doesn't run in 2026.

Whitmer or Nessel would have first rights of refusal.

[MargieCat]

Interesting how some thought Slotkin was DOA before 2022. Winning that narrow Trump district gave us a pretty formidable statewide contender.

I still wonder what Haley Stevens's political future holds.

Perhaps she can succeed Gary Peters if he doesn't run in 2026.

Whitmer or Nessel would have first rights of refusal.

Whitmer definitely would. Although I think she runs for president and would pass on the senate seat if the year were 2026.

Nessel is the weakest of the statewide Democrats.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Interesting how some thought Slotkin was DOA before 2022. Winning that narrow Trump district gave us a pretty formidable statewide contender.

I still wonder what Haley Stevens's political future holds.

Perhaps she can succeed Gary Peters if he doesn't run in 2026.

Ultimately, the feeling you'd be looking at a good year for Rs means Ds in Trump districts would be the first dominoes to fall.

[Zedonathin2020]

Slotkin stays in the Senate until she either retires or loses reelection

Stevens I have no idea, she could make a state wide run or she could stay in the House for the rest of eternity

[Spectator]

Interesting how some thought Slotkin was DOA before 2022. Winning that narrow Trump district gave us a pretty formidable statewide contender.

I still wonder what Haley Stevens's political future holds.

Perhaps she can succeed Gary Peters if he doesn't run in 2026.

Whitmer or Nessel would have first rights of refusal.

Whitmer definitely would. Although I think she runs for president and would pass on the senate seat if the year were 2026.

Nessel is the weakest of the statewide Democrats.

She is, but she’s termed out and has to run for something. Benson beats her in the gubernatorial primary. If the Senate seat opened up, I don’t think there’s any bigger name aside from Whitmer standing in her way.