Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

To vote or not to vote, that is the question.  I think it's pretty clear that Rubio will outpace both Kasich and Bush by a significant margin, so the race will boil down to those three.  If Kasich were the one outpacing Rubio and Bush, I'd definitely vote today, but I'm not certain that Rubio needs my vote as much as Kasich would have.  But the numbers from the Nevada caucus would seem to indicate that Hillary will eventually win out over Bernie, so voting next Saturday won't do much either.

[IceSpear]

Let's all take a moment and remember that regardless of what the results are, Marco Rubio is the true winner today.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/sc/Rep
AP: link
state election commission: http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/59148/158824/en/summary.html

Also, what's up with this... I could have sworn there were several other dropped candidates on the Republican side...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=229608.0

Yeah, there was like 14 people who were still on the ballot... did they just remove those candidates from the ballots before they were printed (no mention of doing something like this on the P2016 website)?

While only two withdrew in time to get their filing fees back, the others who withdrew/suspended were also removed from the Republican ballot.  It looks like O'Malley will still be on the Democratic ballot because the Dems have different rules on what to do when a candidate suspends their campaign.

[Nathan Towne]

To vote or not to vote, that is the question.  I think it's pretty clear that Rubio will outpace both Kasich and Bush by a significant margin, so the race will boil down to those three.  If Kasich were the one outpacing Rubio and Bush, I'd definitely vote today, but I'm not certain that Rubio needs my vote as much as Kasich would have.  But the numbers from the Nevada caucus would seem to indicate that Hillary will eventually win out over Bernie, so voting next Saturday won't do much either.

As a registered voter are you only permitted to vote in one of the two primaries in South Carolina? It sounds like you elected not to vote today.

[jaichind]

I think Clinton winning in NV might marginally help Rubio since polls are still open in SC.

[Why]

How long until we get results?

[Figueira]

I think Clinton winning in NV might marginally help Rubio since polls are still open in SC.

Why would Clinton winning in NV help Rubio?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

To vote or not to vote, that is the question.  I think it's pretty clear that Rubio will outpace both Kasich and Bush by a significant margin, so the race will boil down to those three.  If Kasich were the one outpacing Rubio and Bush, I'd definitely vote today, but I'm not certain that Rubio needs my vote as much as Kasich would have.  But the numbers from the Nevada caucus would seem to indicate that Hillary will eventually win out over Bernie, so voting next Saturday won't do much either.

As a registered voter are you only permitted to vote in one of the two primaries in South Carolina? It sounds like you elected not to vote today.

I still have another hour to get to the polls.  And yes, one can vote in only one primary for a particular election, even if the primaries are held on different days.

[jaichind]

I think Clinton winning in NV might marginally help Rubio since polls are still open in SC.

Why would Clinton winning in NV help Rubio?

Rubio being seen as more electable versus a mainstream Dem will be more important.  If Sanders is the Dem candidate than it gives the GOP to go with its more extreme candidates, helping Trump or Cruz.

[Nathan Towne]

I think Clinton winning in NV might marginally help Rubio since polls are still open in SC.

Why would Clinton winning in NV help Rubio?

I think that he is saying that people may vote for Rubio rather than their preferred candidate, like Trump or Cruz due to fear that neither of them can beat her in November. Many people believe (including myself) that Rubio is generally more electable than either of them.

[DavidB.]

I think Clinton winning in NV might marginally help Rubio since polls are still open in SC.

Why would Clinton winning in NV help Rubio?

Because if Hillary wins the primary, it is more important to have an actual electable Republican as GOP nominee. Trump or Cruz could win against Sanders, but probably not against Hillary.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

How long until we get results?

Polls close at 4 PT/7ET, I would expect results to probably to start to  trickle in 15-20 minutes after.

[ElectionsGuy]

Will Trump be projected the winner at the poll closing?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

[Nathan Towne]

To vote or not to vote, that is the question.  I think it's pretty clear that Rubio will outpace both Kasich and Bush by a significant margin, so the race will boil down to those three.  If Kasich were the one outpacing Rubio and Bush, I'd definitely vote today, but I'm not certain that Rubio needs my vote as much as Kasich would have.  But the numbers from the Nevada caucus would seem to indicate that Hillary will eventually win out over Bernie, so voting next Saturday won't do much either.

As a registered voter are you only permitted to vote in one of the two primaries in South Carolina? It sounds like you elected not to vote today.

Alright. South Carolina is a gorgeous state. Even though it was a beautiful day up here today there are plenty of days during the Winter in which I wish I lived where you do.

[Mr. Morden]

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/20/politics/south-carolina-exit-polls/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[DavidB.]

In South Carolina, shabbat ends at 6:46 PM. Who came up with the idea that voting on Saturday until 7 PM is acceptable? Not that there are many Orthodox Jews in South Carolina afaik, but this still disenfranchises them.

I don't think there are many now, but South Carolina actually had the largest Jewish population of anywhere in the country until the 1830s; they were mostly Sephardim. Charleston has a pretty prominent place in American Jewish history.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_in_Charleston,_South_Carolina

Very interesting, thanks!

[Nathan Towne]

Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

Is it appearing that way at the moment? What tells you that he is so clearly winning?

[MK]

I think Clinton winning in NV might marginally help Rubio since polls are still open in SC.

Why would Clinton winning in NV help Rubio?

I think that he is saying that people may vote for Rubio rather than their preferred candidate, like Trump or Cruz due to fear that neither of them can beat her in November. Many people believe (including myself) that Rubio is generally more electable than either of them.

Hes not.  
Cruz however does have a ceiling  more so than Trump whos basically a independent running on the gops side

[RI]

Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

CNN will probably say it's "too early to call."

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

Is it appearing that way at the moment? What tells you that he is so clearly winning?

He has a double digit lead going into today, so it seems plausible to call the state for him the moment polls close.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Will Trump be projected the winner at the poll closing?

Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

I would guess it depends on what exit polls say, If they show a 6+ point lead for Trump then probably yes. A  Trump lead that is less then 5, or a lead by another candidate they  probably \will hold off on making a call. Keep in mind they may call the State right away but may not call individual CD until later on.

[DavidB.]

If Trump is truly winning SC, and that could very well happen, then I don't see why he would not win the nomination, unfortunately.

[Nathan Towne]

In South Carolina, shabbat ends at 6:46 PM. Who came up with the idea that voting on Saturday until 7 PM is acceptable? Not that there are many Orthodox Jews in South Carolina afaik, but this still disenfranchises them.

I don't think there are many now, but South Carolina actually had the largest Jewish population of anywhere in the country until the 1830s; they were mostly Sephardim. Charleston has a pretty prominent place in American Jewish history.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_in_Charleston,_South_Carolina

Very interesting, thanks!

Yes, South Carolina (Charleston in particular) used to have an extremely large Jewish population relative to other states/cities. Judah Benjamin, for example, comes immediately to mind as someone who grew up in Charleston in the early 19th century.

[Why]

How long until we get results?

Polls close at 4 PT/7ET, I would expect results to probably to start to  trickle in 15-20 minutes after.

So in a hour?