She runs for reelection in 2022 and if she wins she runs against Scott as she wouldn’t have to give up her job.
She WOULD have to give up her job if she ran in 2024. The FL Constitution requires persons who are elected to local or state office to resign their position if they choose to run for another office, including a Federal office
The only exception to this are Elected Federal officials (House and Senate) that may run for Governor.
I'm predicting that Fried will be re-elected and then run for Governor in 2026 against whomever the GOP nominee is, as she will be term-limited.
Why? She would almost certainly lose. 2026 will likely be a Dem president midterm. If a Republican is president(which is unlikely imo), then maybe. Otherwise, I would run against Scott