AZ-Gravis-McSally+1

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Disappointing numbers, but it wouldn't be too surprising if they were accurate. AZ is the FL of the west. It's boomerville.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

I’ve had has this on my mind for a while- but I have a nagging feeling that McSally is going to win.

I was always surprised to see this race rated as at worst a toss up, or a relatively straight forward pickup. It seems strange for three reasons.

1.) Sinema has no strengths as a candiate- like she doesn’t have one quality/attribute that other canidiates have. She just seems like a standard Congresswoman wanting promotion.

2.) McSally is a relatively good candiate- military experience, seasoned campaigner, not a gaffe prone wreck or ridiculously unlikeable (see Ted Cruz or Marsha Blackburn)

3.) Arizona is yet to have its breakthrough- I don’t see what’s dramatically changed since 2016 to make it any anything other than close.

Would appreciate some hopefully data feedback as I know little about AZ in terms of voting behaviour/demographics

I feel this way about GA-GOV, where I don't see what's changed to make it anything other than Lean R.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Disappointing numbers, but it wouldn't be too surprising if they were accurate. AZ is the FL of the west. It's boomerville.

You morons are taking this poll too seriously.

I don't take Gravis seriously, I'm just stating it wouldn't be surprising if it was right.