NJ-Monmouth: Clinton in trouble

[StatesPoll]

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/71c06fa8-e277-4d82-9ac1-38fa679864c8.pdf

Clinton: 38%
Trump: 34%

Now I'm so curious about HH(Hillary Hooligan)'s Reaction.

[StatesPoll]

Now I'm so curious about HH(Hillary Hooligan)'s Reaction.

Trump is not going to win New Jersey unless he wins a national landslide. All this means is that the poll didn't push reluctant dissatisfied voters to make a decision. In the end, enough educated middle class suburbanites will, somewhat reluctantly, pull the lever for Hillary.

I'm not saying He gonna win NJ easily.
But it seems, Previous Oregon Poll(clout) wasn't an outlier.

Clout Poll(Oregon), Independent: TRUMP 53 - Hillary 26
MonMouth Poll(New Jersey), Independent: TRUMP 44 - Hillary 29

[StatesPoll]

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/71c06fa8-e277-4d82-9ac1-38fa679864c8.pdf

Clinton: 38%
Trump: 34%

Anyway,
NJ: Hillary 38 - TRUMP 34 (MonMouth 5/23-5/27  703 RV)
OR: TRUMP 44 - Hillary 42 (Clout 5/10-5/12 657 LV)

Now I really wonder, how is it going in Connecticut.
Because TRUMP has a better chance of winning in CT than NJ
(if NJ is 38-34, CT could be a dead heat situation now)

CT vs NJ (for TRUMP)

1. Party Affiliation:  Similar
CT: DEM 36% | Rep 20%,  NJ: DEM 32.2% REP 19.5%

2. Racial Demographics(Voters Share) CT is much better than NJ

1) CT: White 79% | Black 11%| Hispanic 6% | Asian 2.5% | Other 1.5%
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/CT/president/

2) NJ: White 67% | Black 18%| Hispanic 10% | Asian 3% | Other 2%
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NJ/president/

[StatesPoll]

Now I really wonder, how is it going in Connecticut.
Because TRUMP has a better chance of winning in CT than NJ
(if NJ is 38-34, CT could be a dead heat situation now)

CT is less white than NJ, but the whites in CT are more Democratic than the whites in NJ.

Besides, Romney was a better fit for CT than Trump is, and he didn't come particularly close.

1. Election 2012. Results of White voters.
NJ: Romney 56% | Obama 43%, CT: Romney 48% | Obama 51%
But TRUMP is doing better than Romney(2012) of White voters in CT.

October 7-11th 2015  Quinnipiac Poll: Hillary 47% | TRUMP 40%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2289

White Voters: TRUMP beat Hillary 46-42


2. Yes it is true, NJ: 3.8% less democrats than CT.

But compare to NJ. CT has 12% more white voters, 7% less Black voters, 4% less Hispaic voters.
it means among the Independent voters,
More White voters than NJ.
less Black/Hispanic Independent voters than NJ.

That's why I guess CT is better than NJ for TRUMP.

[StatesPoll]

LOL! Obama won the state with alomost twenty points, Hillary is in big trouble. She's a very weak candidate and will lose to TRUMP. With or without New Jersey.

It is not that negative for Clinton. Understand that Sandy pushed NJ significantly toward Obama than before the storm.

of course Sandy helped Obama of Nationwide.
But in NJ. There wasn't that much difference, before sandy / after sandy(final results)

New Jersey: Romney vs. Obama (2012)

RCP Average (10/10-10/25, which was before Sandy) Obama 52.3% | Romney 40.5%
Final Results Obama 58.3% | Romney 40.6%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nj/new_jersey_romney_vs_obama-1912.html#polls