OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[brucejoel99]

I am glad Jordan is out he has the same problem as D Hassert a wrestling sex scandal

Gym Jordan.

The difference between Jordan and Hastert is that Jordan is accused of covering up a team physician's sexual assaults, while Hastert was the assailant and paid hush money to silence his victims. Nevertheless, Jordan is an odious character, and I think he recognized that it would be easier for him to keep his Safe House seat then go for a potentially risky Senate bid (a bid which I think he still would have been the favorite for, unfortunately; Ohio is slipping away from Democrats).

I think it was just a combination of him having more factional power in the House & being in-line for Judiciary Chair if the GOP were to take back the majority.

[Calthrina950]

I am glad Jordan is out he has the same problem as D Hassert a wrestling sex scandal

Gym Jordan.

The difference between Jordan and Hastert is that Jordan is accused of covering up a team physician's sexual assaults, while Hastert was the assailant and paid hush money to silence his victims. Nevertheless, Jordan is an odious character, and I think he recognized that it would be easier for him to keep his Safe House seat then go for a potentially risky Senate bid (a bid which I think he still would have been the favorite for, unfortunately; Ohio is slipping away from Democrats).

I think it was just a combination of him having more factional power in the House & being in-line for Judiciary Chair if the GOP were to take back the majority.

This is what I meant. Jordan would be more likely to accrue power and influence as a Representative than as a Senator. He would be a conservative firebrand in the Senate, but I'm not sure he would have managed to break into the ranks of leadership there, in a institution which prides itself upon establishment-friendly politics and relative collegiality, and he would have had to spend years building up seniority.

[ibagli]

https://twitter.com/MichaelBColeman/status/1354598308451393536

I'd been wondering where he went.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/yost4ohio/status/1356228045573664775?s=21

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another R drops out, this race is made for Tim Ryan v Mandel

[SnowLabrador]

I expect this to be like KS-SEN 2020.

[It’s so Joever]

Give me an s!
Give me an a!
Give me an f,e, R!

[The Ex-Factor]

Tim Ryan is in

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1356370568644325376

[GALeftist]

Safe R —> Safe R

[Skye]

Ryan IN:

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1356370568644325376

Representative Tim Ryan of Ohio plans to run for his state’s open Senate seat, Democrats who have spoken with him said, a bid that would test whether even a Democrat with roots in the blue-collar Youngstown region and close ties to organized labor can win in the increasingly Republican state.

He is expected to declare his candidacy by the beginning of March, according to Democrats briefed on his planning.

[WD]

tbh ryan is a weak candidate so this moves to lean r (from lean d)

[henster]

Honestly I think Amy Acton would be a better candidate being a doctor she better fits the moment and as a non-pol harder to tie her to DC. Ryan honestly feels like a Strickland redux.

[Senator Spark]

Likely R.

[Brittain33]

Likely R.

Likely R -> Likely R

[Gracile]

Safe R still, though I'm glad that Tim Ryan is going to make a futile run for Senate instead of staying in the House (though his district is almost certainly going to get dismantled anyway now).

[JoeInator]

Likely R -> still Likely R.

[Calthrina950]

Safe R still, though I'm glad that Tim Ryan is going to make a futile run for Senate instead of staying in the House (though his district is almost certainly going to get dismantled anyway now).

The only real question is whether or not Ryan manages to keep his loss within single digits. I think he will slightly outperform Biden, and will lose by about 5-7%. That would seem reasonable. But then again, he could get blown out like Portman's opponents Fisher and Strickland were.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news, on to donate to him like Kennedy, Titanium D

This is gonna be like Daines v Bullock, but different result Ryan wins, all the good Rs dropped out

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely R.

Likely R -> Likely R

Yeah safe R with 21 months left just like with Ron Johnson, just because Sabato and Cook has it Lean R it's gonna be that way until Oct 2022, Johnson only won by 4 pts and Tim Ryan can win by next Oct 2022

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

I assume the OHGOP was gonna crack Ryan's district anyway so I guess there's no point in not making the jump for Senate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course he was, granted it was a D yr in 2018, but Sherrod Brown won in a midterm while DeWine won as Gov

2022 looks good for D's and since Jeff Jackson is running, the Rs are gonna be on the defensive big time.

We only lost NC by a slim margin

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This will be a premier race, I wouldn't underestimate Tim Ryan, this is gonna be Daines v Bullock race

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

My guess is Dr. Acton didn’t want to run.  Even so, Ryan is the wrong guy.  We’d be better off either running a rising star to raise their profile or running someone like Nan Whaley who will over-perform in a region or demographic that is actually open to voting for us (even if you think we can stop the bleeding with WWC voters, Tim Ryan won’t over-perform with them the way Zack Space* did in 2018* Ryan only beat frigging Christina Hagen by single-digits). 

I suppose it could be worse, at least this means we’re probably not running Michael Coleman (great Mayor, terrible statewide candidate, also hasn’t run for anything since 2006).

*Space definitely has some real crossover over appeal in Appalachia - at least to a point - but even that wasn’t enough to beat Keith Faber in a D wave and IIRC Faber was about as weak as you can get while still being generic R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ryan isn't the wrong guy when you have 21 mnths left, of course in an environment like we have now, WI, PA goes D while NC, OH and GA goes R, but we don't know and can't see the Election in Oct 2022

WI isn't Lean R

[KaiserDave]

I don't think Dr. Acton's decision making would influence Ryan's here. Acton could still run, but Ryan would beat her in a primary.