Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration
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  Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration
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Author Topic: Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration  (Read 343331 times)
Kung Fu Kenny
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« Reply #4125 on: November 02, 2021, 05:11:41 PM »

Does anyone have any actual useful information about what is going on?

Not on this website, no
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4126 on: November 02, 2021, 05:12:32 PM »

The fact that turnout surges are happening in both Dem and GOP areas makes the likelihood of a 2020 vote equal unlikely, and also Trump's fav/unfav is 41/58 in a tied 2020 electorate?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #4127 on: November 02, 2021, 05:12:36 PM »

Does anyone have any actual useful information about what is going on?

What do you guess?
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #4128 on: November 02, 2021, 05:12:43 PM »

The exit poll being 46% Biden and 46% Trump calls into question a lot of things

But do people not remember when the CA recall exit poll was off by 8%?

It had Newsom winning by 16% but in reality he won 24%

It also had Biden approval at +15 and then by the end it +23

Unskew em all!
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4129 on: November 02, 2021, 05:13:12 PM »

I have a question for all of you. What's one county/city you're going to be watching incredibly closely? For me, that would be Radford.
I think I'd go with Prince William County.

I'm assuming you picked that to see the margins. I picked Radford as I think it's an underrated bellwether. Montgomery County is another one.
Prince William County will be very key for margins and turnout. If Ds can't get the turnout they need there and/or Youngkin does better than I expect among minorities, it'll be hugely significant. Loudoun on the other hand, while important, isn't really as singularly relevant, even if it is symbolically the place that the election was most hardly fought.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #4130 on: November 02, 2021, 05:13:47 PM »

Prince William is not voting for Trumpkin.

The Jurisdiction in nova to look at is Manassas and Manassas Park.

i am also asking kindly that people are civil in my thread. It reflects bad off me if this thread is a dumspter fire.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4131 on: November 02, 2021, 05:13:51 PM »

The exit poll being 46% Biden and 46% Trump calls into question a lot of things

But do people not remember when the CA recall exit poll was off by 8%?

It had Newsom winning by 16% but in reality he won 24%

It also had Biden approval at +15 and then by the end it +23

This is important to remember. The early exit polls are not good at all and in a closer race that sort of variance could mean much different results in the real returns.
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #4132 on: November 02, 2021, 05:14:12 PM »

Forumlurker161 when the handpicked DNC white male candidate with no charisma loses to the borderline-white nationalist with a funny last name and Manchin, Sinema, Biden, and the DNC just watch the fire burn

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Chips
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« Reply #4133 on: November 02, 2021, 05:14:58 PM »

I have a question for all of you. What's one county/city you're going to be watching incredibly closely? For me, that would be Radford.
I think I'd go with Prince William County.

I'm assuming you picked that to see the margins. I picked Radford as I think it's an underrated bellwether. Montgomery County is another one.
Prince William County will be very key for margins and turnout. If Ds can't get the turnout they need there and/or Youngkin does better than I expect among minorities, it'll be hugely significant. Loudoun on the other hand, while important, isn't really as singularly relevant, even if it is symbolically the place that the election was most hardly fought.

Makes perfect sense.
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Not Me, Us
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« Reply #4134 on: November 02, 2021, 05:15:21 PM »

Prince William is not voting for Trumpkin.

The Jurisdiction in nova to look at is Manassas and Manassas Park.

i am also asking kindly that people are civil in my thread. It reflects bad off me if this thread is a dumspter fire.

I don't see why anyone would hold you responsible for that.
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Umengus
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« Reply #4135 on: November 02, 2021, 05:15:59 PM »

If Youngkin doesn't win there are going to be a whole lot of angry blue avatars on here. They are boosting themselves up for a landslide that might not even happened based on an early exit poll.

And even if he does win you won't see Democrats threatening violence or demanding audits. That is the difference between the parties.

lol. You forget riots in 2020 by your friends. And accusation of fraud in 2000, 2004, georgia,...

What riots in 2020? And the fraud accusations in 2000 and 2004 were nowhere near as mainstream among Democrats as the fraud allegations are amongst Republicans. Don't reply to my posts with your silly self.

BLM riots but I see that you are in denial. Even for the rest. lol.

You were implying that there were riots over the election. No one is talking about BLM, but of course you people have to bring it up at every turn. Typical.

please...

https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37946231
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Wormless Gourd
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« Reply #4136 on: November 02, 2021, 05:16:18 PM »

Would be funny if Youngkin pulls off a big upset tonight but by the time 2022 rolls around Bidens approvals are higher and the midterms are a wash for Republicans.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #4137 on: November 02, 2021, 05:16:53 PM »

This thread is a collection of indecipherable screeching noises
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #4138 on: November 02, 2021, 05:17:40 PM »

, this country deserves to fail.
Democracy was a mistake.
China will rise and it will be our fault  .
YOU ALL CAUSED THIS YOU TRAITORS

CRAAAAAWLING IN MY SKIN
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #4139 on: November 02, 2021, 05:17:41 PM »

The turnout reports don't suggest the environment is 46-46... but I'm not an expert.

If GOP is more enthusiastic, as polls suggested, it's, what you should expect more or less. + people that switch party sometimes "forgets", whom they voted for.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4140 on: November 02, 2021, 05:17:47 PM »

Prince William is not voting for Trumpkin.

The Jurisdiction in nova to look at is Manassas and Manassas Park.

i am also asking kindly that people are civil in my thread. It reflects bad off me if this thread is a dumspter fire.
It's actually been surprisingly civil how people have been on Election Night so far.  Maybe I'm jinxing it but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't pleasantly surprised.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4141 on: November 02, 2021, 05:18:44 PM »

If Youngkin doesn't win there are going to be a whole lot of angry blue avatars on here. They are boosting themselves up for a landslide that might not even happened based on an early exit poll.

And even if he does win you won't see Democrats threatening violence or demanding audits. That is the difference between the parties.

lol. You forget riots in 2020 by your friends. And accusation of fraud in 2000, 2004, georgia,...

What riots in 2020? And the fraud accusations in 2000 and 2004 were nowhere near as mainstream among Democrats as the fraud allegations are amongst Republicans. Don't reply to my posts with your silly self.

BLM riots but I see that you are in denial. Even for the rest. lol.

You were implying that there were riots over the election. No one is talking about BLM, but of course you people have to bring it up at every turn. Typical.

please...

https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37946231

That's from 2016, you said there were riots over the election in 2020. You lied and got called out. Let it go.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #4142 on: November 02, 2021, 05:18:59 PM »

Remember no matter how enthusiastically you cast your vote.. it does not make it count more.

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Umengus
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« Reply #4143 on: November 02, 2021, 05:19:11 PM »

in 2006, cnn exit poll had Web +10 and the final result was Webb by 0,1 % Wink
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4144 on: November 02, 2021, 05:19:26 PM »

This threadwebsite is a collection of indecipherable screeching noises
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #4145 on: November 02, 2021, 05:19:26 PM »

This thread is a collection of indecipherable screeching noises
"All the sound and fury, signifying nothing" - Shakespeare
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #4146 on: November 02, 2021, 05:19:36 PM »

So in his last pitch McAuliffe had nothing more to say than "Trump bad" and kept bringing up Youngkin's Trump endorsement. Youngkin actually spent his last pitch talking about his policies.

this is blatantly false lol

Youngkins' entire message was CRT = bad and Virginia Public Schools = bad

Uh, no? Did you read his last pitch speech? If you did, and that's what you took away from it, I don't know what to tell you.

Regardless, even if that was his entire message, that's still talking more about policy than TMac did, who thinks he's apparently running against a former U.S. president rather than an actual gubernatorial candidate.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4147 on: November 02, 2021, 05:20:36 PM »

So in his last pitch McAuliffe had nothing more to say than "Trump bad" and kept bringing up Youngkin's Trump endorsement. Youngkin actually spent his last pitch talking about his policies.

this is blatantly false lol

Youngkins' entire message was CRT = bad and Virginia Public Schools = bad

Uh, no? Did you read his last pitch speech?

Link ?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4148 on: November 02, 2021, 05:21:16 PM »

AP Vote Cast exit poll has education decently lower. Interesting if we get a 2020 Edison. vs Votecast again

In the race between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin, 34% of Virginia voters say the economy and jobs was the most important issue facing the state. Seventeen percent name COVID-19 and 14% choose education, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of voters.

Health care (7%), climate change (7%), racism (5%), immigration (5%), abortion (5%) and law enforcement (4%) were all lower-tier issues.


https://apnews.com/article/virginia-election-ap-votecast-survey-75520c5c9a245bee384526abc138a61a?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_medium=AP_Politics&utm_source=Twitter
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roxas11
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« Reply #4149 on: November 02, 2021, 05:21:22 PM »

The exit poll being 46% Biden and 46% Trump calls into question a lot of things

But do people not remember when the CA recall exit poll was off by 8%?

It had Newsom winning by 16% but in reality he won 24%

It also had Biden approval at +15 and then by the end it +23

I just think no one should take these exit polls to seriously

I mean, don't get me wrong, they are fun to talk about and enjoy watching both Dems and republican freak out at over them, but ultimately they tell us very little about the actual election
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